PredictionsNorwayTromso vs Hamarkameratene
EliteserienSun 20 Sept, 15:00 Norway time

Tromso vs Hamarkameratene prediction

Romssa Arena

TromsoHome
1.77 : 0.67
expected goals
HamarkamerateneAway
63%Tromso
24%Draw
13%Hamarkameratene
Eagle safe pickTromso draw no bet
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tromso vs Hamarkameratene is Tromso to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Tromso draw no bet at 1.19.

Prediction
Tromso to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Tromso 1.8, Hamarkameratene 0.7
Best bet
Tromso draw no bet at 1.19
Both teams to score
41%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Tromso draw no bet
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

Eagle bold pick

Tromso to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.081 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tromso 63%, the draw 24% and Hamarkameratene 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tromso took 4 points from their last 5 games and Hamarkameratene took 5 from 5. Hamarkameratene come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tromso won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Hamarkameratene won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tromso score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Hamarkameratene score 1.3 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Tromso games and 14 of Hamarkameratene games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Tromso won 2 and Hamarkameratene won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Hamarkameratene 1, Tromso 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Tromso draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tromsorecent form-4%
  • Hamarkameratenerecent form-1%
  • Tromsorest between games-5%
Tromso form L L D L DHamarkameratene form L D L D WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tromso vs Hamarkameratene: Tromso are favourites

The big picture

Tromso host Hamarkameratene in the Eliteserien on Sun 20 Sept, 15:00 at Romssa Arena. Our prediction for Tromso vs Hamarkameratene is Tromso to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Tromso draw no bet at 1.19.

Tromso form

Tromso have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Hamarkameratene form

Hamarkameratene have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Tromso won 2, Hamarkameratene won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Hamarkameratene 1, Tromso 4.

Our call

We expect Tromso to score about 1.8 goals and Hamarkameratene about 0.7. That points to Tromso to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Tromso draw no bet at 1.19. Our bold bet is Tromso to win and Over 2.5 at 3.08.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TromsoHamarkameratene
Games played2020
Wins106
Draws55
Losses59
Goals scored3725
Goals conceded2737
Scored per game1.91.3
Conceded per game1.41.9
Home record6W 3D 1L5W 2D 2L
Away record4W 2D 4L1W 3D 7L
Clean sheets45%25%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.27
Over 3.5 goals23%4.36
Both teams to score41%2.43
Tromso or Draw87%1.15
Hamarkameratene or Draw37%2.71
Tromso to win and Over 2.535%2.88
Hamarkameratene to win and Over 2.56%17.11
Tromso clean sheet51%1.96
Hamarkameratene clean sheet17%5.85

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.8%
2-013.6%
1-111.0%
0-09.3%
2-19.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tromso vs Hamarkameratene?

Our prediction for Tromso vs Hamarkameratene is Tromso to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Tromso draw no bet at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Tromso vs Hamarkameratene?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Tromso to score 1.8 goals and Hamarkameratene 0.7.

Will both teams score in Tromso vs Hamarkameratene?

Both teams to score has a 41% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Tromso last 20 games and 11 of Hamarkameratene last 20.

How are Tromso playing?

Tromso have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, W, newest first.

How are Hamarkameratene playing?

Hamarkameratene have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Tromso and Hamarkameratene last met?

It ended Hamarkameratene 1, Tromso 4. In the last 2 meetings Tromso won 2 and Hamarkameratene won 0.

What is the best bet for Tromso vs Hamarkameratene?

Tromso draw no bet at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tromso against Hamarkameratene. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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