Predictions › Norway › Tromso vs KFUM Oslo
EliteserienSun 18 Oct, 17:15 Norway time

Tromso vs KFUM Oslo prediction

Romssa Arena

TromsoHome
1.93 : 0.93
expected goals
KFUM OsloAway
60%Tromso
23%Draw
17%KFUM
Eagle safe pickTromso or Draw
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tromso vs KFUM Oslo is Tromso to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tromso or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction
Tromso to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Tromso 1.9, KFUM Oslo 0.9
Best bet
Tromso or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Tromso or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Tromso to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.721 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tromso 60%, the draw 23% and KFUM Oslo 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tromso took 4 points from their last 5 games and KFUM Oslo took 7 from 5. KFUM Oslo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tromso won 6 of their last 10 games at home. KFUM Oslo won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tromso score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.4. KFUM Oslo score 1.1 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Tromso games and 12 of KFUM Oslo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Tromso won 0 and KFUM Oslo won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended KFUM Oslo 0, Tromso 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Tromso or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Tromsorecent form-3%
Tromso form W L L D LKFUM form W W L L DHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Tromso vs KFUM Oslo: Tromso are favourites

The big picture

Tromso host KFUM Oslo in the Eliteserien on Sun 18 Oct, 17:15 at Romssa Arena. Our prediction for Tromso vs KFUM Oslo is Tromso to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tromso or Draw at 1.24.

Tromso form

Tromso have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

KFUM Oslo form

KFUM Oslo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Tromso won 0, KFUM Oslo won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished KFUM Oslo 0, Tromso 0.

Our call

We expect Tromso to score about 1.9 goals and KFUM Oslo about 0.9. That points to Tromso to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Tromso or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Tromso to win and Over 2.5 at 2.72.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TromsoKFUM
Games played2020
Wins106
Draws54
Losses510
Goals scored3623
Goals conceded2935
Scored per game1.81.1
Conceded per game1.41.8
Home record6W 3D 1L4W 2D 4L
Away record4W 2D 4L2W 2D 6L
Clean sheets40%20%
Both teams scored45%60%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals54%1.84
Over 3.5 goals32%3.11
Both teams to score52%1.91
Tromso or Draw83%1.20
KFUM Oslo or Draw40%2.52
Tromso to win and Over 2.539%2.56
KFUM Oslo to win and Over 2.510%10.27
Tromso clean sheet40%2.53
KFUM Oslo clean sheet14%6.91

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
2-010.7%
1-010.4%
2-19.9%
3-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tromso vs KFUM Oslo?

Our prediction for Tromso vs KFUM Oslo is Tromso to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tromso or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Tromso vs KFUM Oslo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-0. We expect Tromso to score 1.9 goals and KFUM Oslo 0.9.

Will both teams score in Tromso vs KFUM Oslo?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Tromso last 20 games and 12 of KFUM Oslo last 20.

How are Tromso playing?

Tromso have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are KFUM Oslo playing?

KFUM Oslo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Tromso and KFUM Oslo last met?

It ended KFUM Oslo 0, Tromso 0. In the last 1 meeting Tromso won 0 and KFUM Oslo won 0.

What is the best bet for Tromso vs KFUM Oslo?

Tromso or Draw at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Tromso against KFUM. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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