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Predictions › United States › Troy Trojans vs James Madison Dukes
College FootballThu 29 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Troy Trojans vs James Madison Dukes prediction

Bridgeforth Stadium

Troy TrojansAway
15.0 : 36.0
projected points
James Madison DukesHome
10%Troy
90%James Madison
Eagle safe pickOver 40.5 points
-305

Quick answer

Our prediction for Troy Trojans vs James Madison Dukes is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 90% chance. We project Troy Trojans 15.0 and James Madison Dukes 36.0. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -305.

Prediction
James Madison Dukes to win
Chance
90%
Projected score
Troy Trojans 15, James Madison Dukes 36
Projected total
51.0 points
Best bet
Over 40.5 points at -305

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 40.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3052 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives James Madison Dukes 90% and Troy Trojans 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    James Madison Dukes won 5 of their last 5 and Troy Trojans won 2 of their last 5. James Madison Dukes come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    James Madison Dukes won 10 of their last 10 games at home. Troy Trojans won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    James Madison Dukes score 40.0 points a game and let in 17.4. Troy Trojans score 23.4 and let in 24.5. Their recent games average 57.4 and 47.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, James Madison Dukes won 1 and Troy Trojans won 0. The last one ended James Madison Dukes 31, Troy Trojans 14.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 40.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • James Madisonrest between games-2%
  • Troyrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Troy Trojans vs James Madison Dukes: James Madison Dukes are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

James Madison Dukes host Troy Trojans in the College Football on Thu 29 Oct, 19:30 at Bridgeforth Stadium. Our prediction for Troy Trojans vs James Madison Dukes is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 90% chance. We project Troy Trojans 15.0 and James Madison Dukes 36.0. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -305.

James Madison Dukes form

James Madison Dukes have 18 wins and 1 loss in their last 19 games, with 760 points scored and 331 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Troy Trojans form

Troy Trojans have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 421 points scored and 441 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. James Madison Dukes won 1, Troy Trojans won 0. Last time out it finished James Madison Dukes 31, Troy Trojans 14.

Our call

We expect Troy Trojans to score about 15.0 points and James Madison Dukes about 36.0. That points to James Madison Dukes to win. Our safest bet is Over 40.5 points at -305.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

James MadisonTroy
Games played1918
Wins1810
Losses18
Points scored760421
Points conceded331441
Scored per game40.023.4
Conceded per game17.424.5
Home record10W 0L6W 2L
Away record8W 1L4W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

James Madison spreadCoversFair
James Madison -27.534%+194
James Madison -23.544%+129
James Madison -20.551%-104
James Madison -17.558%-141
James Madison -13.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
43.568%32%
47.559%41%
50.551%49%
53.544%56%
57.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. James Madison +3.5 wins if James Madison win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Troy Trojans vs James Madison Dukes?

Our prediction for Troy Trojans vs James Madison Dukes is James Madison Dukes to win, with a 90% chance. We project Troy Trojans 15.0 and James Madison Dukes 36.0. Our best bet is Over 40.5 points at -305.

What is the projected score for Troy Trojans vs James Madison Dukes?

We project Troy Trojans 15.0 and James Madison Dukes 36.0, about 51.0 points in total.

How are James Madison Dukes playing?

James Madison Dukes have 18 wins and 1 loss in their last 19 games, with 760 points scored and 331 conceded. At home they have 10 wins and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Troy Trojans playing?

Troy Trojans have 10 wins and 8 losses in their last 18 games, with 421 points scored and 441 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when James Madison Dukes and Troy Trojans last met?

It ended James Madison Dukes 31, Troy Trojans 14. In the last 1 meeting James Madison Dukes won 1 and Troy Trojans won 0.

What is the best bet for Troy Trojans vs James Madison Dukes?

Over 40.5 points at -305, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in James Madison against Troy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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