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Predictions › United States › Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
College FootballSat 17 Oct, 17:00 United States time

Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns prediction

Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium

Troy TrojansAway
19.6 : 26.8
projected points
Louisiana Ragin' CajunsHome
31%Troy
69%Louisiana
Eagle safe pickTroy +17.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns is Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns to win, with a 69% chance. We project Troy Trojans 19.6 and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 26.8. Our best bet is Troy +17.5 at -299.

Prediction
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns to win
Chance
69%
Projected score
Troy Trojans 20, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 27
Projected total
46.4 points
Best bet
Troy +17.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Troy +17.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Troy to win
32% chanceFair price +2171 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 69% and Troy Trojans 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 4 of their last 5 and Troy Trojans won 3 of their last 5. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 6 of their last 7 games at home. Troy Trojans won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns score 27.4 points a game and let in 28.3. Troy Trojans score 24.4 and let in 24.0. Their recent games average 55.7 and 48.4 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 0 and Troy Trojans won 1. The last one ended Troy Trojans 35, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 23.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Troy +17.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Troyrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns host Troy Trojans in the College Football on Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 at Our Lady of Lourdes Stadium. Our prediction for Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns is Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns to win, with a 69% chance. We project Troy Trojans 19.6 and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 26.8. Our best bet is Troy +17.5 at -299.

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns form

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns have 9 wins and 7 losses in their last 16 games, with 438 points scored and 453 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Troy Trojans form

Troy Trojans have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 415 points scored and 408 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 0, Troy Trojans won 1. Last time out it finished Troy Trojans 35, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 23.

Our call

We expect Troy Trojans to score about 19.6 points and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns about 26.8. That points to Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns to win. Our safest bet is Troy +17.5 at -299. Our bold bet is Troy to win at +217.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

LouisianaTroy
Games played1617
Wins910
Losses77
Points scored438415
Points conceded453408
Scored per game27.424.4
Conceded per game28.324.0
Home record6W 1L6W 2L
Away record3W 6L4W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Louisiana spreadCoversFair
Louisiana -14.532%+208
Louisiana -10.542%+139
Louisiana -7.549%+103
Louisiana -4.557%-131
Louisiana -0.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
39.567%33%
43.557%43%
46.550%50%
49.542%58%
53.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Louisiana +3.5 wins if Louisiana win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?

Our prediction for Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns is Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns to win, with a 69% chance. We project Troy Trojans 19.6 and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 26.8. Our best bet is Troy +17.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?

We project Troy Trojans 19.6 and Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 26.8, about 46.4 points in total.

How are Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns playing?

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns have 9 wins and 7 losses in their last 16 games, with 438 points scored and 453 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 1 loss from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Troy Trojans playing?

Troy Trojans have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 415 points scored and 408 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns and Troy Trojans last met?

It ended Troy Trojans 35, Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns 23. In the last 1 meeting Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns won 0 and Troy Trojans won 1.

What is the best bet for Troy Trojans vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns?

Troy +17.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Louisiana against Troy. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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