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Predictions › Germany › TSV Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel
2. BundesligaFri 9 Oct, 16:30 Germany time

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel prediction

Eintracht-Stadion

TSV Eintracht BraunschweigHome
1.44 : 1.52
expected goals
Holstein KielAway
35%E Braunschweig
26%Draw
39%Holstein Kiel
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for TSV Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel is Holstein Kiel to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Holstein Kiel to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 1.4, Holstein Kiel 1.5
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
12% chanceFair price 8.311 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 35%, the draw 26% and Holstein Kiel 39%. The bookmakers agree and make Holstein Kiel the favourite at 2.35.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    TSV Eintracht Braunschweig took 1 point from their last 5 games and Holstein Kiel took 3 from 5. Holstein Kiel come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    TSV Eintracht Braunschweig won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Holstein Kiel won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    TSV Eintracht Braunschweig score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.8. Holstein Kiel score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of TSV Eintracht Braunschweig games and 12 of Holstein Kiel games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, TSV Eintracht Braunschweig won 0 and Holstein Kiel won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Holstein Kiel 2, TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • E Braunschweigrecent form-6%
  • Holstein Kielrecent form-1%
E Braunschweig form L D L L LHolstein Kiel form D L D L WHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel: Holstein Kiel shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig host Holstein Kiel in the 2. Bundesliga on Fri 9 Oct, 16:30 at Eintracht-Stadion. Our prediction for TSV Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel is Holstein Kiel to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig form

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Holstein Kiel form

Holstein Kiel have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. TSV Eintracht Braunschweig won 0, Holstein Kiel won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Holstein Kiel 2, TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 0.

Our call

We expect TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to score about 1.4 goals and Holstein Kiel about 1.5. That points to Holstein Kiel to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.31.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

E BraunschweigHolstein Kiel
Games played2020
Wins45
Draws56
Losses119
Goals scored2726
Goals conceded3532
Scored per game1.41.3
Conceded per game1.81.6
Home record2W 4D 3L2W 5D 3L
Away record2W 1D 8L3W 1D 6L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored65%65%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to win33%3.002.60-13.5%
A Draw25%3.993.60-9.8%
Holstein Kiel to win36%2.772.35-15.2%
Over 3.5 goals36%2.772.25-18.9%
Under 3.5 goals59%1.691.54-9.1%
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig +0.557%1.751.53-12.7%
Holstein Kiel -0.537%2.702.25-16.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.76
Over 3.5 goals34%2.91
Both teams to score60%1.66
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig or Draw61%1.63
Holstein Kiel or Draw65%1.55
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to win and Over 2.523%4.31
Holstein Kiel to win and Over 2.526%3.90
TSV Eintracht Braunschweig clean sheet22%4.57
Holstein Kiel clean sheet24%4.22

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
1-28.6%
2-18.2%
0-17.2%
1-06.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win TSV Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel?

Our prediction for TSV Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel is Holstein Kiel to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for TSV Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect TSV Eintracht Braunschweig to score 1.4 goals and Holstein Kiel 1.5.

Will both teams score in TSV Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of TSV Eintracht Braunschweig last 20 games and 13 of Holstein Kiel last 20.

How are TSV Eintracht Braunschweig playing?

TSV Eintracht Braunschweig have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Holstein Kiel playing?

Holstein Kiel have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What happened when TSV Eintracht Braunschweig and Holstein Kiel last met?

It ended Holstein Kiel 2, TSV Eintracht Braunschweig 0. In the last 2 meetings TSV Eintracht Braunschweig won 0 and Holstein Kiel won 1.

What is the best bet for TSV Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in E Braunschweig against Holstein Kiel. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
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