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Predictions › Austria › TSV Hartberg vs LASK Linz
Austrian BundesligaSun 20 Sept, 12:30 Austria time

TSV Hartberg vs LASK Linz prediction

Profertil Arena

TSV HartbergHome
1.03 : 2.60
expected goals
LASK LinzAway
12%TSV Hartberg
17%Draw
71%LASK Linz
Eagle safe pickLASK Linz to win
1.40

Quick answer

Our prediction for TSV Hartberg vs LASK Linz is LASK Linz to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is LASK Linz to win at 1.40.

Prediction
LASK Linz to win
Chance
71%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
TSV Hartberg 1.0, LASK Linz 2.6
Best bet
LASK Linz to win at 1.40
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

LASK Linz to win
72% chanceFair price 1.401 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

LASK Linz to win and both score
35% chanceFair price 2.841 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives TSV Hartberg 12%, the draw 17% and LASK Linz 71%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    TSV Hartberg took 6 points from their last 5 games and LASK Linz took 12 from 5. LASK Linz come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    TSV Hartberg won 2 of their last 11 games at home. LASK Linz won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    TSV Hartberg score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. LASK Linz score 2.3 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of TSV Hartberg games and 14 of LASK Linz games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, TSV Hartberg won 0 and LASK Linz won 1 with 3 draws. The last one ended TSV Hartberg 1, LASK Linz 5.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    LASK Linz to win has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • TSV Hartbergrecent form-1%
  • LASK Linzrecent form+1%
TSV Hartberg form W W L L LLASK Linz form L W W W LHome edge in this league 20% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

TSV Hartberg vs LASK Linz: LASK Linz are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

TSV Hartberg host LASK Linz in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sun 20 Sept, 12:30 at Profertil Arena. Our prediction for TSV Hartberg vs LASK Linz is LASK Linz to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is LASK Linz to win at 1.40.

TSV Hartberg form

TSV Hartberg have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

LASK Linz form

LASK Linz have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. TSV Hartberg won 0, LASK Linz won 1 and 3 games ended level. Last time out it finished TSV Hartberg 1, LASK Linz 5.

Our call

We expect TSV Hartberg to score about 1.0 goals and LASK Linz about 2.6. That points to LASK Linz to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is LASK Linz to win at 1.40. Our bold bet is LASK Linz to win and both score at 2.84.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TSV HartbergLASK Linz
Games played2020
Wins512
Draws75
Losses83
Goals scored1946
Goals conceded2624
Scored per game0.92.3
Conceded per game1.31.2
Home record2W 3D 6L7W 2D 1L
Away record3W 4D 2L5W 3D 2L
Clean sheets30%25%
Both teams scored45%70%
Over 2.5 goals35%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%1.13
Over 2.5 goals70%1.42
Over 3.5 goals49%2.04
Both teams to score60%1.67
TSV Hartberg or Draw29%3.42
LASK Linz or Draw88%1.14
TSV Hartberg to win and Over 2.59%11.67
LASK Linz to win and Over 2.555%1.81
TSV Hartberg clean sheet7%13.50
LASK Linz clean sheet36%2.79

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.2%
0-29.0%
1-38.0%
0-37.8%
1-17.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win TSV Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

Our prediction for TSV Hartberg vs LASK Linz is LASK Linz to win, with a 71% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is LASK Linz to win at 1.40.

What is the score prediction for TSV Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-3. We expect TSV Hartberg to score 1.0 goals and LASK Linz 2.6.

Will both teams score in TSV Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of TSV Hartberg last 20 games and 14 of LASK Linz last 20.

How are TSV Hartberg playing?

TSV Hartberg have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are LASK Linz playing?

LASK Linz have 12 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when TSV Hartberg and LASK Linz last met?

It ended TSV Hartberg 1, LASK Linz 5. In the last 4 meetings TSV Hartberg won 0 and LASK Linz won 1.

What is the best bet for TSV Hartberg vs LASK Linz?

LASK Linz to win at 1.40, with a 72% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in TSV Hartberg against LASK Linz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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