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Predictions › Austria › TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger
Austrian BundesligaSat 24 Oct, 15:00 Austria time

TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger prediction

Profertil Arena

TSV HartbergHome
2.06 : 1.41
expected goals
WolfsbergerAway
52%TSV Hartberg
22%Draw
26%Wolfsberger
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger is TSV Hartberg to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

Prediction
TSV Hartberg to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
TSV Hartberg 2.1, Wolfsberger 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.18
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

TSV Hartberg to win and Over 2.5
39% chanceFair price 2.551 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives TSV Hartberg 52%, the draw 22% and Wolfsberger 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    TSV Hartberg took 11 points from their last 5 games and Wolfsberger took 1 from 5. TSV Hartberg come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    TSV Hartberg won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Wolfsberger won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    TSV Hartberg score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.6. Wolfsberger score 0.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of TSV Hartberg games and 11 of Wolfsberger games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, TSV Hartberg won 1 and Wolfsberger won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Wolfsberger 1, TSV Hartberg 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • TSV Hartbergrecent form+3%
  • Wolfsbergerrecent form-4%
TSV Hartberg form D D D W WWolfsberger form D L L L DHome edge in this league 22% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger: TSV Hartberg are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

TSV Hartberg host Wolfsberger in the Austrian Bundesliga on Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 at Profertil Arena. Our prediction for TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger is TSV Hartberg to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

TSV Hartberg form

TSV Hartberg have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Wolfsberger form

Wolfsberger have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. TSV Hartberg won 1, Wolfsberger won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Wolfsberger 1, TSV Hartberg 2.

Our call

We expect TSV Hartberg to score about 2.1 goals and Wolfsberger about 1.4. That points to TSV Hartberg to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18. Our bold bet is TSV Hartberg to win and Over 2.5 at 2.55.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TSV HartbergWolfsberger
Games played2020
Wins55
Draws75
Losses810
Goals scored2619
Goals conceded3331
Scored per game1.30.9
Conceded per game1.61.6
Home record2W 3D 6L3W 4D 2L
Away record3W 4D 2L2W 1D 8L
Clean sheets20%35%
Both teams scored55%45%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals67%1.49
Over 3.5 goals46%2.19
Both teams to score67%1.50
TSV Hartberg or Draw74%1.35
Wolfsberger or Draw48%2.08
TSV Hartberg to win and Over 2.539%2.54
Wolfsberger to win and Over 2.519%5.31
TSV Hartberg clean sheet24%4.11
Wolfsberger clean sheet13%7.81

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.6%
2-19.3%
2-06.6%
2-26.6%
1-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger?

Our prediction for TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger is TSV Hartberg to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect TSV Hartberg to score 2.1 goals and Wolfsberger 1.4.

Will both teams score in TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of TSV Hartberg last 20 games and 9 of Wolfsberger last 20.

How are TSV Hartberg playing?

TSV Hartberg have 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Wolfsberger playing?

Wolfsberger have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 19 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when TSV Hartberg and Wolfsberger last met?

It ended Wolfsberger 1, TSV Hartberg 2. In the last 2 meetings TSV Hartberg won 1 and Wolfsberger won 0.

What is the best bet for TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in TSV Hartberg against Wolfsberger. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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