Predictions › United States › UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers
College FootballSat 10 Oct, 00:00 United States time

UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers prediction

Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

UAB BlazersAway
23.2 : 36.1
projected points
Memphis TigersHome
23%UAB
77%Memphis
Eagle safe pickMemphis to win
-340

Quick answer

Our prediction for UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 77% chance. We project UAB Blazers 23.2 and Memphis Tigers 36.1. Our best bet is Memphis to win at -340.

Prediction
Memphis Tigers to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
UAB Blazers 23, Memphis Tigers 36
Projected total
59.3 points
Best bet
Memphis to win at -340

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Memphis to win
77% chanceFair price -3402 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Memphis Tigers 77% and UAB Blazers 23%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Memphis Tigers won 3 of their last 5 and UAB Blazers won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Memphis Tigers won 5 of their last 7 games at home. UAB Blazers won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Memphis Tigers score 31.5 points a game and let in 25.3. UAB Blazers score 23.4 and let in 34.4. Their recent games average 56.8 and 57.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Memphis Tigers won 0 and UAB Blazers won 1. The last one ended UAB Blazers 31, Memphis Tigers 24.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Memphis to win has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers: Memphis Tigers are favourites

The big picture

Memphis Tigers host UAB Blazers in the College Football on Sat 10 Oct, 00:00 at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Our prediction for UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 77% chance. We project UAB Blazers 23.2 and Memphis Tigers 36.1. Our best bet is Memphis to win at -340.

Memphis Tigers form

Memphis Tigers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 473 points scored and 379 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

UAB Blazers form

UAB Blazers have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 328 points scored and 482 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Memphis Tigers won 0, UAB Blazers won 1. Last time out it finished UAB Blazers 31, Memphis Tigers 24.

Our call

We expect UAB Blazers to score about 23.2 points and Memphis Tigers about 36.1. That points to Memphis Tigers to win. Our safest bet is Memphis to win at -340.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

MemphisUAB
Games played1514
Wins95
Losses69
Points scored473328
Points conceded379482
Scored per game31.523.4
Conceded per game25.334.4
Home record5W 2L4W 3L
Away record4W 4L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Memphis spreadCoversFair
Memphis -19.534%+194
Memphis -15.544%+130
Memphis -12.551%-104
Memphis -9.558%-141
Memphis -5.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
52.566%34%
56.557%43%
59.549%51%
62.542%58%
66.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Memphis +3.5 wins if Memphis win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers?

Our prediction for UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers is Memphis Tigers to win, with a 77% chance. We project UAB Blazers 23.2 and Memphis Tigers 36.1. Our best bet is Memphis to win at -340.

What is the projected score for UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers?

We project UAB Blazers 23.2 and Memphis Tigers 36.1, about 59.3 points in total.

How are Memphis Tigers playing?

Memphis Tigers have 9 wins and 6 losses in their last 15 games, with 473 points scored and 379 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 2 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are UAB Blazers playing?

UAB Blazers have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 328 points scored and 482 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Memphis Tigers and UAB Blazers last met?

It ended UAB Blazers 31, Memphis Tigers 24. In the last 1 meeting Memphis Tigers won 0 and UAB Blazers won 1.

What is the best bet for UAB Blazers vs Memphis Tigers?

Memphis to win at -340, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Memphis against UAB. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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