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Predictions › United States › UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons
College FootballSat 31 Oct, 15:00 United States time

UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons prediction

Falcon Stadium

UConn HuskiesAway
28.9 : 26.6
projected points
Air Force FalconsHome
56%UConn
44%Air Force
Eagle safe pickAir Force +12.5
-298

Quick answer

Our prediction for UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons is UConn Huskies to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project UConn Huskies 28.9 and Air Force Falcons 26.6. Our best bet is Air Force +12.5 at -298.

Prediction
UConn Huskies to win
Chance
56%
Projected score
UConn Huskies 29, Air Force Falcons 27
Projected total
55.5 points
Best bet
Air Force +12.5 at -298

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Air Force +12.5
75% chanceFair price -2981 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Air Force to win
44% chanceFair price +1261 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Air Force Falcons 44% and UConn Huskies 56%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Air Force Falcons won 4 of their last 5 and UConn Huskies won 2 of their last 5. Air Force Falcons come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Air Force Falcons won 4 of their last 9 games at home. UConn Huskies won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Air Force Falcons score 29.1 points a game and let in 27.6. UConn Huskies score 34.9 and let in 27.2. Their recent games average 56.6 and 62.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Air Force Falcons won 0 and UConn Huskies won 1. The last one ended UConn Huskies 26, Air Force Falcons 16.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Air Force +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons: UConn Huskies shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Air Force Falcons host UConn Huskies in the College Football on Sat 31 Oct, 15:00 at Falcon Stadium. Our prediction for UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons is UConn Huskies to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project UConn Huskies 28.9 and Air Force Falcons 26.6. Our best bet is Air Force +12.5 at -298.

Air Force Falcons form

Air Force Falcons have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 494 points scored and 469 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

UConn Huskies form

UConn Huskies have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 594 points scored and 462 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Air Force Falcons won 0, UConn Huskies won 1. Last time out it finished UConn Huskies 26, Air Force Falcons 16.

Our call

We expect UConn Huskies to score about 28.9 points and Air Force Falcons about 26.6. That points to UConn Huskies to win. Our safest bet is Air Force +12.5 at -298. Our bold bet is Air Force to win at +126.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Air ForceUConn
Games played1717
Wins811
Losses96
Points scored494594
Points conceded469462
Scored per game29.134.9
Conceded per game27.627.2
Home record4W 5L6W 2L
Away record4W 4L5W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Air Force spreadCoversFair
Air Force -4.534%+197
Air Force -0.543%+132
Air Force +2.551%-102
Air Force +5.558%-138
Air Force +9.567%-207
Total pointsOverUnder
48.567%33%
52.557%43%
55.550%50%
58.543%57%
62.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Air Force +3.5 wins if Air Force win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons?

Our prediction for UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons is UConn Huskies to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project UConn Huskies 28.9 and Air Force Falcons 26.6. Our best bet is Air Force +12.5 at -298.

What is the projected score for UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons?

We project UConn Huskies 28.9 and Air Force Falcons 26.6, about 55.5 points in total.

How are Air Force Falcons playing?

Air Force Falcons have 8 wins and 9 losses in their last 17 games, with 494 points scored and 469 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are UConn Huskies playing?

UConn Huskies have 11 wins and 6 losses in their last 17 games, with 594 points scored and 462 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Air Force Falcons and UConn Huskies last met?

It ended UConn Huskies 26, Air Force Falcons 16. In the last 1 meeting Air Force Falcons won 0 and UConn Huskies won 1.

What is the best bet for UConn Huskies vs Air Force Falcons?

Air Force +12.5 at -298, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Air Force against UConn. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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