EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › UL Monroe Warhawks vs App State Mountaineers
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 14:30 United States time

UL Monroe Warhawks vs App State Mountaineers prediction

Kidd Brewer Stadium

UL Monroe WarhawksAway
22.5 : 29.6
projected points
App State MountaineersHome
33%UL Monroe
67%App State
Eagle safe pickUnder 62.5 points
-304

Quick answer

Our prediction for UL Monroe Warhawks vs App State Mountaineers is App State Mountaineers to win, with a 67% chance. We project UL Monroe Warhawks 22.5 and App State Mountaineers 29.6. Our best bet is Under 62.5 points at -304.

Prediction
App State Mountaineers to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
UL Monroe Warhawks 22, App State Mountaineers 30
Projected total
52.1 points
Best bet
Under 62.5 points at -304

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 62.5 points
75% chanceFair price -3042 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

UL Monroe to win
32% chanceFair price +2131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives App State Mountaineers 67% and UL Monroe Warhawks 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    App State Mountaineers won 2 of their last 5 and UL Monroe Warhawks won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    App State Mountaineers won 5 of their last 11 games at home. UL Monroe Warhawks won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    App State Mountaineers score 24.9 points a game and let in 29.1. UL Monroe Warhawks score 18.5 and let in 32.8. Their recent games average 54.0 and 51.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 62.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UL Monroe Warhawks vs App State Mountaineers: App State Mountaineers are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

App State Mountaineers host UL Monroe Warhawks in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 at Kidd Brewer Stadium. Our prediction for UL Monroe Warhawks vs App State Mountaineers is App State Mountaineers to win, with a 67% chance. We project UL Monroe Warhawks 22.5 and App State Mountaineers 29.6. Our best bet is Under 62.5 points at -304.

App State Mountaineers form

App State Mountaineers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 497 points scored and 583 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

UL Monroe Warhawks form

UL Monroe Warhawks have 4 wins and 15 losses in their last 19 games, with 351 points scored and 623 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect UL Monroe Warhawks to score about 22.5 points and App State Mountaineers about 29.6. That points to App State Mountaineers to win. Our safest bet is Under 62.5 points at -304. Our bold bet is UL Monroe to win at +213.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

App StateUL Monroe
Games played2019
Wins84
Losses1215
Points scored497351
Points conceded583623
Scored per game24.918.5
Conceded per game29.132.8
Home record5W 6L1W 7L
Away record3W 6L3W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

App State spreadCoversFair
App State -14.532%+210
App State -10.542%+140
App State -7.549%+104
App State -4.557%-130
App State -0.566%-195
Total pointsOverUnder
45.566%34%
49.556%44%
52.549%51%
55.541%59%
59.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. App State +3.5 wins if App State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win UL Monroe Warhawks vs App State Mountaineers?

Our prediction for UL Monroe Warhawks vs App State Mountaineers is App State Mountaineers to win, with a 67% chance. We project UL Monroe Warhawks 22.5 and App State Mountaineers 29.6. Our best bet is Under 62.5 points at -304.

What is the projected score for UL Monroe Warhawks vs App State Mountaineers?

We project UL Monroe Warhawks 22.5 and App State Mountaineers 29.6, about 52.1 points in total.

How are App State Mountaineers playing?

App State Mountaineers have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 497 points scored and 583 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are UL Monroe Warhawks playing?

UL Monroe Warhawks have 4 wins and 15 losses in their last 19 games, with 351 points scored and 623 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for UL Monroe Warhawks vs App State Mountaineers?

Under 62.5 points at -304, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in App State against UL Monroe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.