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Predictions › United States › UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 19:00 United States time

UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars prediction

Hancock Whitney Stadium

UL Monroe WarhawksAway
20.9 : 34.9
projected points
South Alabama JaguarsHome
20%UL Monroe
81%South Alabama
Eagle safe pickOver 45.5 points
-297

Quick answer

Our prediction for UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars is South Alabama Jaguars to win, with a 81% chance. We project UL Monroe Warhawks 20.9 and South Alabama Jaguars 34.9. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -297.

Prediction
South Alabama Jaguars to win
Chance
81%
Projected score
UL Monroe Warhawks 21, South Alabama Jaguars 35
Projected total
55.8 points
Best bet
Over 45.5 points at -297

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 45.5 points
75% chanceFair price -2971 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives South Alabama Jaguars 81% and UL Monroe Warhawks 20%. The bookmakers agree and make South Alabama Jaguars the favourite at -676.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    South Alabama Jaguars won 2 of their last 5 and UL Monroe Warhawks won 0 of their last 5. South Alabama Jaguars come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    South Alabama Jaguars won 3 of their last 6 games at home. UL Monroe Warhawks won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    South Alabama Jaguars score 26.7 points a game and let in 31.0. UL Monroe Warhawks score 18.2 and let in 34.4. Their recent games average 57.7 and 52.6 points in total, and the market line is 55.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, South Alabama Jaguars won 1 and UL Monroe Warhawks won 0. The last one ended UL Monroe Warhawks 14, South Alabama Jaguars 26.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 45.5 points has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • South Alabamarest between games-5%
  • UL Monroerest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars: South Alabama Jaguars are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

South Alabama Jaguars host UL Monroe Warhawks in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 at Hancock Whitney Stadium. Our prediction for UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars is South Alabama Jaguars to win, with a 81% chance. We project UL Monroe Warhawks 20.9 and South Alabama Jaguars 34.9. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -297.

South Alabama Jaguars form

South Alabama Jaguars have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 374 points scored and 434 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

UL Monroe Warhawks form

UL Monroe Warhawks have 2 wins and 12 losses in their last 14 games, with 255 points scored and 481 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. South Alabama Jaguars won 1, UL Monroe Warhawks won 0. Last time out it finished UL Monroe Warhawks 14, South Alabama Jaguars 26.

Our call

We expect UL Monroe Warhawks to score about 20.9 points and South Alabama Jaguars about 34.9. That points to South Alabama Jaguars to win. Our safest bet is Over 45.5 points at -297.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 14 games in all competitions.

South AlabamaUL Monroe
Games played1414
Wins52
Losses912
Points scored374255
Points conceded434481
Scored per game26.718.2
Conceded per game31.034.4
Home record3W 3L1W 5L
Away record2W 6L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
South Alabama to win81%-413-676-7.6%
UL Monroe to win17%+489+490+0.2%
South Alabama -1447%+113-108-9.7%
UL Monroe +1447%+113-112-11.3%
Over 55.5 points48%+110-115-11.0%
Under 55.5 points46%+117-105-9.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

South Alabama spreadCoversFair
South Alabama -21.532%+213
South Alabama -17.541%+142
South Alabama -14.549%+105
South Alabama -11.556%-128
South Alabama -7.566%-192
Total pointsOverUnder
48.568%32%
52.558%42%
55.551%49%
58.543%57%
62.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. South Alabama +3.5 wins if South Alabama win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars?

Our prediction for UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars is South Alabama Jaguars to win, with a 81% chance. We project UL Monroe Warhawks 20.9 and South Alabama Jaguars 34.9. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at -297.

What is the projected score for UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars?

We project UL Monroe Warhawks 20.9 and South Alabama Jaguars 34.9, about 55.8 points in total.

How are South Alabama Jaguars playing?

South Alabama Jaguars have 5 wins and 9 losses in their last 14 games, with 374 points scored and 434 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are UL Monroe Warhawks playing?

UL Monroe Warhawks have 2 wins and 12 losses in their last 14 games, with 255 points scored and 481 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when South Alabama Jaguars and UL Monroe Warhawks last met?

It ended UL Monroe Warhawks 14, South Alabama Jaguars 26. In the last 1 meeting South Alabama Jaguars won 1 and UL Monroe Warhawks won 0.

What is the best bet for UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars?

Over 45.5 points at -297, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in South Alabama against UL Monroe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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