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Predictions › United States › UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 16:00 United States time

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans prediction

Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)

UL Monroe WarhawksAway
22.4 : 37.0
projected points
Troy TrojansHome
19%UL Monroe
81%Troy
Eagle safe pickTroy to win
-415

Quick answer

Our prediction for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans is Troy Trojans to win, with a 81% chance. We project UL Monroe Warhawks 22.4 and Troy Trojans 37.0. Our best bet is Troy to win at -415.

Prediction
Troy Trojans to win
Chance
81%
Projected score
UL Monroe Warhawks 22, Troy Trojans 37
Projected total
59.4 points
Best bet
Troy to win at -415

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Troy to win
81% chanceFair price -4152 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Troy Trojans 81% and UL Monroe Warhawks 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Troy Trojans won 3 of their last 5 and UL Monroe Warhawks won 0 of their last 5. Troy Trojans come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Troy Trojans won 6 of their last 8 games at home. UL Monroe Warhawks won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Troy Trojans score 24.4 points a game and let in 24.0. UL Monroe Warhawks score 19.3 and let in 35.5. Their recent games average 48.4 and 54.9 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Troy Trojans won 1 and UL Monroe Warhawks won 0. The last one ended UL Monroe Warhawks 14, Troy Trojans 37.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Troy to win has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans: Troy Trojans are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Troy Trojans host UL Monroe Warhawks in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). Our prediction for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans is Troy Trojans to win, with a 81% chance. We project UL Monroe Warhawks 22.4 and Troy Trojans 37.0. Our best bet is Troy to win at -415.

Troy Trojans form

Troy Trojans have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 415 points scored and 408 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

UL Monroe Warhawks form

UL Monroe Warhawks have 2 wins and 13 losses in their last 15 games, with 290 points scored and 533 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Troy Trojans won 1, UL Monroe Warhawks won 0. Last time out it finished UL Monroe Warhawks 14, Troy Trojans 37.

Our call

We expect UL Monroe Warhawks to score about 22.4 points and Troy Trojans about 37.0. That points to Troy Trojans to win. Our safest bet is Troy to win at -415.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

TroyUL Monroe
Games played1715
Wins102
Losses713
Points scored415290
Points conceded408533
Scored per game24.419.3
Conceded per game24.035.5
Home record6W 2L1W 5L
Away record4W 5L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Troy spreadCoversFair
Troy -21.533%+200
Troy -17.543%+134
Troy -14.550%-101
Troy -11.558%-136
Troy -7.567%-204
Total pointsOverUnder
52.567%33%
56.557%43%
59.550%50%
62.542%58%
66.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Troy +3.5 wins if Troy win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans?

Our prediction for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans is Troy Trojans to win, with a 81% chance. We project UL Monroe Warhawks 22.4 and Troy Trojans 37.0. Our best bet is Troy to win at -415.

What is the projected score for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans?

We project UL Monroe Warhawks 22.4 and Troy Trojans 37.0, about 59.4 points in total.

How are Troy Trojans playing?

Troy Trojans have 10 wins and 7 losses in their last 17 games, with 415 points scored and 408 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are UL Monroe Warhawks playing?

UL Monroe Warhawks have 2 wins and 13 losses in their last 15 games, with 290 points scored and 533 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Troy Trojans and UL Monroe Warhawks last met?

It ended UL Monroe Warhawks 14, Troy Trojans 37. In the last 1 meeting Troy Trojans won 1 and UL Monroe Warhawks won 0.

What is the best bet for UL Monroe Warhawks vs Troy Trojans?

Troy to win at -415, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Troy against UL Monroe. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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