Predictions › Chile › Unión La Calera vs Huachipato

Chilean Primera DivisionSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Chile time

Unión La Calera vs Huachipato prediction

Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán

Unión La CaleraHome

1.28 : 1.15

expected goals

HuachipatoAway

39%Unión La Calera

29%Draw

32%Huachipato

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Unión La Calera vs Huachipato is Unión La Calera to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction: Unión La Calera to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Unión La Calera 1.3, Huachipato 1.1
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score: 50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

78% chanceFair price 1.292 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Unión La Calera 39%, the draw 29% and Huachipato 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Unión La Calera took 7 points from their last 5 games and Huachipato took 11 from 5. Huachipato come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Unión La Calera won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Huachipato won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Unión La Calera score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.7. Huachipato score 1.4 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Unión La Calera games and 10 of Huachipato games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Unión La Calera won 0 and Huachipato won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Huachipato 3, Unión La Calera 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Unión La Calerarecent form+1%
Huachipatorecent form+4%

Unión La Calera form D D D D WHuachipato form D W W W DHome edge in this league 30% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Unión La Calera vs Huachipato: Unión La Calera shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Unión La Calera host Huachipato in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán. Our prediction for Unión La Calera vs Huachipato is Unión La Calera to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Unión La Calera form

Unión La Calera have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Huachipato form

Huachipato have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Unión La Calera won 0, Huachipato won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Huachipato 3, Unión La Calera 1.

Our call

We expect Unión La Calera to score about 1.3 goals and Huachipato about 1.1. That points to Unión La Calera to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.28.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Unión La Calera	Huachipato
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	7
Draws	6	5
Losses	10	8
Goals scored	20	28
Goals conceded	34	34
Scored per game	1.0	1.4
Conceded per game	1.7	1.7
Home record	3W 3D 4L	4W 2D 4L
Away record	1W 3D 6L	3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Both teams scored	60%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	71%	1.42
Over 2.5 goals	44%	2.28
Over 3.5 goals	23%	4.39
Both teams to score	50%	1.99
Unión La Calera or Draw	68%	1.48
Huachipato or Draw	61%	1.63
Unión La Calera to win and Over 2.5	21%	4.77
Huachipato to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.80
Unión La Calera clean sheet	32%	3.16
Huachipato clean sheet	28%	3.60

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.7%

1-010.5%

0-09.6%

0-19.3%

2-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Unión La Calera vs Huachipato?

Our prediction for Unión La Calera vs Huachipato is Unión La Calera to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Unión La Calera vs Huachipato?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Unión La Calera to score 1.3 goals and Huachipato 1.1.

Will both teams score in Unión La Calera vs Huachipato?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Unión La Calera last 20 games and 10 of Huachipato last 20.

How are Unión La Calera playing?

How are Huachipato playing?

What happened when Unión La Calera and Huachipato last met?

It ended Huachipato 3, Unión La Calera 1. In the last 1 meeting Unión La Calera won 0 and Huachipato won 1.

What is the best bet for Unión La Calera vs Huachipato?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Unión La Calera against Huachipato. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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