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Predictions › Chile › Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera DivisionSun 25 Oct, 18:00 Chile time

Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica prediction

Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán

Unión La CaleraHome
1.01 : 1.56
expected goals
Universidad CatólicaAway
24%Unión La Calera
27%Draw
49%U Católica
Eagle safe pickUniversidad Católica or Draw
1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica is Universidad Católica to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Universidad Católica or Draw at 1.32.

Prediction
Universidad Católica to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Unión La Calera 1.0, Universidad Católica 1.6
Best bet
Universidad Católica or Draw at 1.32
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Universidad Católica or Draw
76% chanceFair price 1.322 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Universidad Católica to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 3.711 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Unión La Calera 24%, the draw 27% and Universidad Católica 49%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Unión La Calera took 5 points from their last 5 games and Universidad Católica took 12 from 5. Universidad Católica come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Unión La Calera won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Universidad Católica won 7 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Unión La Calera score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.6. Universidad Católica score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Unión La Calera games and 12 of Universidad Católica games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Unión La Calera won 1 and Universidad Católica won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Universidad Católica 1, Unión La Calera 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Universidad Católica or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • U Católicarecent form+4%
  • U Católicarest between games-3%
Unión La Calera form D D D W LU Católica form D D W W WHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica: Universidad Católica are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Unión La Calera host Universidad Católica in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 25 Oct, 18:00 at Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán. Our prediction for Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica is Universidad Católica to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Universidad Católica or Draw at 1.32.

Unión La Calera form

Unión La Calera have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, D, newest first.

Universidad Católica form

Universidad Católica have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Unión La Calera won 1, Universidad Católica won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Universidad Católica 1, Unión La Calera 2.

Our call

We expect Unión La Calera to score about 1.0 goals and Universidad Católica about 1.6. That points to Universidad Católica to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Universidad Católica or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is Universidad Católica to win and Over 2.5 at 3.71.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Unión La CaleraU Católica
Games played2020
Wins411
Draws63
Losses106
Goals scored2033
Goals conceded3324
Scored per game1.01.6
Conceded per game1.61.2
Home record3W 3D 4L4W 2D 4L
Away record1W 3D 6L7W 1D 2L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals73%1.36
Over 2.5 goals48%2.11
Over 3.5 goals26%3.87
Both teams to score51%1.96
Unión La Calera or Draw51%1.97
Universidad Católica or Draw76%1.31
Unión La Calera to win and Over 2.513%7.72
Universidad Católica to win and Over 2.529%3.47
Unión La Calera clean sheet21%4.76
Universidad Católica clean sheet36%2.75

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
0-111.2%
1-29.4%
0-29.3%
0-08.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica?

Our prediction for Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica is Universidad Católica to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Universidad Católica or Draw at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Unión La Calera to score 1.0 goals and Universidad Católica 1.6.

Will both teams score in Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Unión La Calera last 20 games and 10 of Universidad Católica last 20.

How are Unión La Calera playing?

Unión La Calera have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, D, newest first.

How are Universidad Católica playing?

Universidad Católica have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Unión La Calera and Universidad Católica last met?

It ended Universidad Católica 1, Unión La Calera 2. In the last 2 meetings Unión La Calera won 1 and Universidad Católica won 1.

What is the best bet for Unión La Calera vs Universidad Católica?

Universidad Católica or Draw at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Unión La Calera against U Católica. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
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