EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › Argentina › Unión (Santa Fe) vs Defensa y Justicia
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 10 Oct, 00:45 Argentina time

Unión (Santa Fe) vs Defensa y Justicia prediction

15 de Abril

Unión (Santa Fe)Home
1.89 : 1.25
expected goals
Defensa y JusticiaAway
52%Unión (SF)
24%Draw
25%Def. y Jus.
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.25

Quick answer

Our prediction for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Defensa y Justicia is Unión (Santa Fe) to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Prediction
Unión (Santa Fe) to win
Chance
52%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Unión (Santa Fe) 1.9, Defensa y Justicia 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.25
Both teams to score
61%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
80% chanceFair price 1.252 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Unión (Santa Fe) to win and Over 2.5
34% chanceFair price 2.921 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Unión (Santa Fe) 52%, the draw 24% and Defensa y Justicia 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Unión (Santa Fe) took 9 points from their last 5 games and Defensa y Justicia took 10 from 5. Defensa y Justicia come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Unión (Santa Fe) won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Defensa y Justicia won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Unión (Santa Fe) score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.7. Defensa y Justicia score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Unión (Santa Fe) games and 10 of Defensa y Justicia games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Unión (Santa Fe) won 1 and Defensa y Justicia won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Defensa y Justicia 2, Unión (Santa Fe) 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Unión (SF)recent form+1%
  • Def. y Jus.recent form+3%
Unión (SF) form L L W W WDef. y Jus. form D W L W WHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Unión (Santa Fe) vs Defensa y Justicia: Unión (Santa Fe) are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Unión (Santa Fe) host Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 10 Oct, 00:45 at 15 de Abril. Our prediction for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Defensa y Justicia is Unión (Santa Fe) to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Unión (Santa Fe) form

Unión (Santa Fe) have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Defensa y Justicia form

Defensa y Justicia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Unión (Santa Fe) won 1, Defensa y Justicia won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Defensa y Justicia 2, Unión (Santa Fe) 0.

Our call

We expect Unión (Santa Fe) to score about 1.9 goals and Defensa y Justicia about 1.3. That points to Unión (Santa Fe) to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is Unión (Santa Fe) to win and Over 2.5 at 2.92.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Unión (SF)Def. y Jus.
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws56
Losses97
Goals scored3225
Goals conceded3428
Scored per game1.61.3
Conceded per game1.71.4
Home record4W 2D 3L5W 3D 2L
Away record2W 3D 6L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets5%20%
Both teams scored75%60%
Over 2.5 goals65%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.65
Over 3.5 goals38%2.61
Both teams to score61%1.63
Unión (Santa Fe) or Draw75%1.33
Defensa y Justicia or Draw48%2.06
Unión (Santa Fe) to win and Over 2.536%2.76
Defensa y Justicia to win and Over 2.517%6.05
Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet29%3.50
Defensa y Justicia clean sheet15%6.59

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
2-19.7%
2-07.7%
1-07.6%
1-26.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Unión (Santa Fe) vs Defensa y Justicia?

Our prediction for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Defensa y Justicia is Unión (Santa Fe) to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Defensa y Justicia?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Unión (Santa Fe) to score 1.9 goals and Defensa y Justicia 1.3.

Will both teams score in Unión (Santa Fe) vs Defensa y Justicia?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Unión (Santa Fe) last 20 games and 12 of Defensa y Justicia last 20.

How are Unión (Santa Fe) playing?

Unión (Santa Fe) have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Defensa y Justicia playing?

Defensa y Justicia have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Unión (Santa Fe) and Defensa y Justicia last met?

It ended Defensa y Justicia 2, Unión (Santa Fe) 0. In the last 2 meetings Unión (Santa Fe) won 1 and Defensa y Justicia won 1.

What is the best bet for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Defensa y Justicia?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Unión (SF) against Def. y Jus.. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.