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Predictions › Argentina › Unión (Santa Fe) vs Estudiantes de La Plata
Argentina Liga ProfesionalMon 26 Oct, 22:00 Argentina time

Unión (Santa Fe) vs Estudiantes de La Plata prediction

15 de Abril

Unión (Santa Fe)Home
1.29 : 0.98
expected goals
Estudiantes de La PlataAway
43%Unión (SF)
30%Draw
27%Estudiantes
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.26

Quick answer

Our prediction for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Estudiantes de La Plata is Unión (Santa Fe) to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Prediction
Unión (Santa Fe) to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Unión (Santa Fe) 1.3, Estudiantes de La Plata 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.26
Both teams to score
46%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.262 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.221 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Unión (Santa Fe) 43%, the draw 30% and Estudiantes de La Plata 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Unión (Santa Fe) took 3 points from their last 5 games and Estudiantes de La Plata took 8 from 5. Estudiantes de La Plata come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Unión (Santa Fe) won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Estudiantes de La Plata won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Unión (Santa Fe) score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Estudiantes de La Plata score 1.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Unión (Santa Fe) games and 7 of Estudiantes de La Plata games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Unión (Santa Fe) won 0 and Estudiantes de La Plata won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Estudiantes de La Plata 2, Unión (Santa Fe) 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Unión (SF)recent form-3%
  • Estudiantesrecent form-1%
  • Estudiantesrest between games-5%
Unión (SF) form D L L L WEstudiantes form D D W L LHome edge in this league 25% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Unión (Santa Fe) vs Estudiantes de La Plata: Unión (Santa Fe) shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Unión (Santa Fe) host Estudiantes de La Plata in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Mon 26 Oct, 22:00 at 15 de Abril. Our prediction for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Estudiantes de La Plata is Unión (Santa Fe) to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

Unión (Santa Fe) form

Unión (Santa Fe) have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Estudiantes de La Plata form

Estudiantes de La Plata have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Unión (Santa Fe) won 0, Estudiantes de La Plata won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Estudiantes de La Plata 2, Unión (Santa Fe) 1.

Our call

We expect Unión (Santa Fe) to score about 1.3 goals and Estudiantes de La Plata about 1.0. That points to Unión (Santa Fe) to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.22.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Unión (SF)Estudiantes
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws35
Losses118
Goals scored2722
Goals conceded3417
Scored per game1.41.1
Conceded per game1.70.8
Home record4W 1D 4L5W 4D 2L
Away record2W 2D 7L2W 1D 6L
Clean sheets5%40%
Both teams scored65%25%
Over 2.5 goals65%35%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals67%1.49
Over 2.5 goals40%2.53
Over 3.5 goals19%5.15
Both teams to score46%2.17
Unión (Santa Fe) or Draw73%1.38
Estudiantes de La Plata or Draw57%1.75
Unión (Santa Fe) to win and Over 2.522%4.61
Estudiantes de La Plata to win and Over 2.513%7.63
Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet38%2.66
Estudiantes de La Plata clean sheet27%3.64

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
1-012.6%
0-011.1%
0-19.3%
2-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Unión (Santa Fe) vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Our prediction for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Estudiantes de La Plata is Unión (Santa Fe) to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.26.

What is the score prediction for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Unión (Santa Fe) to score 1.3 goals and Estudiantes de La Plata 1.0.

Will both teams score in Unión (Santa Fe) vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Unión (Santa Fe) last 20 games and 5 of Estudiantes de La Plata last 20.

How are Unión (Santa Fe) playing?

Unión (Santa Fe) have 6 wins, 3 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Estudiantes de La Plata playing?

Estudiantes de La Plata have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 17 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Unión (Santa Fe) and Estudiantes de La Plata last met?

It ended Estudiantes de La Plata 2, Unión (Santa Fe) 1. In the last 1 meeting Unión (Santa Fe) won 0 and Estudiantes de La Plata won 1.

What is the best bet for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Estudiantes de La Plata?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.26, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Unión (SF) against Estudiantes. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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