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Predictions › Belgium › Union St.-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge KSV
Belgian Pro LeagueSun 25 Oct, 18:15 Belgium time

Union St.-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge KSV prediction

Stade Joseph Marien

Union St.-GilloiseHome
2.05 : 0.68
expected goals
Cercle Brugge KSVAway
69%Union SG
20%Draw
11%Cercle Brugge
Eagle safe pickUnion St.-Gilloise draw no bet
1.18

Quick answer

Our prediction for Union St.-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge KSV is Union St.-Gilloise to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Union St.-Gilloise draw no bet at 1.18.

Prediction
Union St.-Gilloise to win
Chance
69%
Most likely score
2-0
Expected goals
Union St.-Gilloise 2.0, Cercle Brugge KSV 0.7
Best bet
Union St.-Gilloise draw no bet at 1.18
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Union St.-Gilloise draw no bet
85% chanceFair price 1.182 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Union St.-Gilloise to win and Over 2.5
43% chanceFair price 2.341 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Union St.-Gilloise 69%, the draw 20% and Cercle Brugge KSV 11%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Union St.-Gilloise took 11 points from their last 5 games and Cercle Brugge KSV took 1 from 5. Union St.-Gilloise come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Union St.-Gilloise won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Cercle Brugge KSV won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Union St.-Gilloise score 2.1 goals a game and let in 0.8. Cercle Brugge KSV score 1.5 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Union St.-Gilloise games and 15 of Cercle Brugge KSV games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Union St.-Gilloise won 1 and Cercle Brugge KSV won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Cercle Brugge KSV 1, Union St.-Gilloise 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Union St.-Gilloise draw no bet has a 85% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Union SGrecent form+4%
  • Cercle Bruggerecent form-4%
  • Union SGrest between games-5%
Union SG form D D W W WCercle Brugge form D L D L LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Union St.-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge KSV: Union St.-Gilloise are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Union St.-Gilloise host Cercle Brugge KSV in the Belgian Pro League on Sun 25 Oct, 18:15 at Stade Joseph Marien. Our prediction for Union St.-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge KSV is Union St.-Gilloise to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Union St.-Gilloise draw no bet at 1.18.

Union St.-Gilloise form

Union St.-Gilloise have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

Cercle Brugge KSV form

Cercle Brugge KSV have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Union St.-Gilloise won 1, Cercle Brugge KSV won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Cercle Brugge KSV 1, Union St.-Gilloise 1.

Our call

We expect Union St.-Gilloise to score about 2.0 goals and Cercle Brugge KSV about 0.7. That points to Union St.-Gilloise to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Union St.-Gilloise draw no bet at 1.18. Our bold bet is Union St.-Gilloise to win and Over 2.5 at 2.34.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Union SGCercle Brugge
Games played2020
Wins135
Draws55
Losses210
Goals scored4230
Goals conceded1536
Scored per game2.11.5
Conceded per game0.81.8
Home record6W 4D 0L2W 2D 6L
Away record7W 1D 2L3W 3D 4L
Clean sheets55%15%
Both teams scored40%70%
Over 2.5 goals60%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.95
Over 3.5 goals29%3.43
Both teams to score43%2.30
Union St.-Gilloise or Draw89%1.12
Cercle Brugge KSV or Draw31%3.21
Union St.-Gilloise to win and Over 2.542%2.37
Cercle Brugge KSV to win and Over 2.55%18.89
Union St.-Gilloise clean sheet51%1.97
Cercle Brugge KSV clean sheet13%7.74

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-013.7%
1-012.9%
1-19.6%
3-09.4%
2-19.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Union St.-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge KSV?

Our prediction for Union St.-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge KSV is Union St.-Gilloise to win, with a 69% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Union St.-Gilloise draw no bet at 1.18.

What is the score prediction for Union St.-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge KSV?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Union St.-Gilloise to score 2.0 goals and Cercle Brugge KSV 0.7.

Will both teams score in Union St.-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge KSV?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Union St.-Gilloise last 20 games and 14 of Cercle Brugge KSV last 20.

How are Union St.-Gilloise playing?

Union St.-Gilloise have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Cercle Brugge KSV playing?

Cercle Brugge KSV have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Union St.-Gilloise and Cercle Brugge KSV last met?

It ended Cercle Brugge KSV 1, Union St.-Gilloise 1. In the last 2 meetings Union St.-Gilloise won 1 and Cercle Brugge KSV won 0.

What is the best bet for Union St.-Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge KSV?

Union St.-Gilloise draw no bet at 1.18, with a 85% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Union SG against Cercle Brugge. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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