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Predictions › Europa League › Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er
Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct, 16:45 UTC

Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er prediction

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Union St.-GilloiseHome
1.76 : 0.72
expected goals
Hapoel Be'erAway
62%Union SG
24%Draw
14%Hapoel Be'er
Eagle safe pickUnion St.-Gilloise or Draw
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er is Union St.-Gilloise to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Union St.-Gilloise or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction
Union St.-Gilloise to win
Chance
62%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Union St.-Gilloise 1.8, Hapoel Be'er 0.7
Best bet
Union St.-Gilloise or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Union St.-Gilloise or Draw
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Union St.-Gilloise to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.041 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Union St.-Gilloise 62%, the draw 24% and Hapoel Be'er 14%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Union St.-Gilloise took 13 points from their last 5 games and Hapoel Be'er took 1 from 1. Union St.-Gilloise come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    Union St.-Gilloise score 2.2 goals a game and let in 0.8. Hapoel Be'er score 0.0 and let in 0.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Union St.-Gilloise games and 0 of Hapoel Be'er games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Union St.-Gilloise or Draw has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Union SGrecent form+6%
  • Hapoel Be'errecent form+3%
  • Union SGrest between games-5%
  • Hapoel Be'errest between games-3%
Union SG form D W W W WHapoel Be'er form D L W W WHome edge in this league 24% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er: Union St.-Gilloise are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Union St.-Gilloise host Hapoel Be'er in the Europa League on Thu 22 Oct, 16:45 at Merkur Spiel-Arena. Our prediction for Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er is Union St.-Gilloise to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Union St.-Gilloise or Draw at 1.20.

Union St.-Gilloise form

Union St.-Gilloise have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Hapoel Be'er form

Hapoel Be'er have 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 1 games, with 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Their last 1 results read D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Union St.-Gilloise to score about 1.8 goals and Hapoel Be'er about 0.7. That points to Union St.-Gilloise to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Union St.-Gilloise or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Union St.-Gilloise to win and Over 2.5 at 3.04.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Union SGHapoel Be'er
Games played201
Wins140
Draws41
Losses20
Goals scored440
Goals conceded150
Scored per game2.20.0
Conceded per game0.80.0
Home record6W 3D 0L0W 1D 0L
Away record8W 1D 2Ln/a
Clean sheets55%100%
Both teams scored40%0%
Over 2.5 goals65%0%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%4.21
Both teams to score43%2.32
Union St.-Gilloise or Draw86%1.17
Hapoel Be'er or Draw38%2.60
Union St.-Gilloise to win and Over 2.535%2.90
Hapoel Be'er to win and Over 2.57%15.04
Union St.-Gilloise clean sheet49%2.05
Hapoel Be'er clean sheet17%5.80

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-014.1%
2-013.0%
1-111.3%
2-19.3%
0-09.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er?

Our prediction for Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er is Union St.-Gilloise to win, with a 62% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Union St.-Gilloise or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Union St.-Gilloise to score 1.8 goals and Hapoel Be'er 0.7.

Will both teams score in Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Union St.-Gilloise last 20 games and 0 of Hapoel Be'er last 1.

How are Union St.-Gilloise playing?

Union St.-Gilloise have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Hapoel Be'er playing?

Hapoel Be'er have 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 1 games, with 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Their last 1 results read D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Union St.-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er?

Union St.-Gilloise or Draw at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Union SG against Hapoel Be'er. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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