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Predictions › Chile › Universidad Católica vs Audax Italiano
Chilean Primera DivisionSat 10 Oct, 23:00 Chile time

Universidad Católica vs Audax Italiano prediction

Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Universidad CatólicaHome
2.02 : 0.97
expected goals
Audax ItalianoAway
61%U Católica
22%Draw
17%Audax Italiano
Eagle safe pickUniversidad Católica or Draw
1.24

Quick answer

Our prediction for Universidad Católica vs Audax Italiano is Universidad Católica to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Universidad Católica or Draw at 1.24.

Prediction
Universidad Católica to win
Chance
61%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Universidad Católica 2.0, Audax Italiano 1.0
Best bet
Universidad Católica or Draw at 1.24
Both teams to score
55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Universidad Católica or Draw
81% chanceFair price 1.242 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Universidad Católica to win and Over 2.5
38% chanceFair price 2.621 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Universidad Católica 61%, the draw 22% and Audax Italiano 17%. The bookmakers agree and make Universidad Católica the favourite at 1.54.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Universidad Católica took 12 points from their last 5 games and Audax Italiano took 8 from 5. Universidad Católica come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Universidad Católica won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Audax Italiano won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Universidad Católica score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Audax Italiano score 1.1 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Universidad Católica games and 11 of Audax Italiano games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Universidad Católica won 1 and Audax Italiano won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Audax Italiano 3, Universidad Católica 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Universidad Católica or Draw has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • U Católicarecent form+4%
U Católica form D D W W WAudax Italiano form L D W W LHome edge in this league 28% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Universidad Católica vs Audax Italiano: Universidad Católica are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Universidad Católica host Audax Italiano in the Chilean Primera Division on Sat 10 Oct, 23:00 at Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo. Our prediction for Universidad Católica vs Audax Italiano is Universidad Católica to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Universidad Católica or Draw at 1.24.

Universidad Católica form

Universidad Católica have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Audax Italiano form

Audax Italiano have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Universidad Católica won 1, Audax Italiano won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Audax Italiano 3, Universidad Católica 4.

Our call

We expect Universidad Católica to score about 2.0 goals and Audax Italiano about 1.0. That points to Universidad Católica to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Universidad Católica or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is Universidad Católica to win and Over 2.5 at 2.62.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

U CatólicaAudax Italiano
Games played2020
Wins116
Draws36
Losses68
Goals scored3323
Goals conceded2430
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.21.5
Home record4W 2D 4L4W 4D 3L
Away record7W 1D 2L2W 2D 5L
Clean sheets35%35%
Both teams scored50%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Universidad Católica to win58%1.721.54-10.2%
A Draw22%4.614.10-11.1%
Audax Italiano to win17%5.945.25-11.6%
Over 2.5 goals52%1.931.69-12.3%
Under 2.5 goals42%2.402.00-16.6%
Universidad Católica -0.558%1.731.50-13.2%
Audax Italiano +0.537%2.732.30-15.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.85
Both teams to score55%1.83
Universidad Católica or Draw83%1.20
Audax Italiano or Draw39%2.56
Universidad Católica to win and Over 2.541%2.43
Audax Italiano to win and Over 2.510%9.76
Universidad Católica clean sheet38%2.65
Audax Italiano clean sheet13%7.52

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-010.2%
2-110.0%
1-09.5%
3-06.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Universidad Católica vs Audax Italiano?

Our prediction for Universidad Católica vs Audax Italiano is Universidad Católica to win, with a 61% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Universidad Católica or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for Universidad Católica vs Audax Italiano?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 2-1. We expect Universidad Católica to score 2.0 goals and Audax Italiano 1.0.

Will both teams score in Universidad Católica vs Audax Italiano?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Universidad Católica last 20 games and 10 of Audax Italiano last 20.

How are Universidad Católica playing?

Universidad Católica have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Audax Italiano playing?

Audax Italiano have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Universidad Católica and Audax Italiano last met?

It ended Audax Italiano 3, Universidad Católica 4. In the last 1 meeting Universidad Católica won 1 and Audax Italiano won 0.

What is the best bet for Universidad Católica vs Audax Italiano?

Universidad Católica or Draw at 1.24, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in U Católica against Audax Italiano. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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