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Predictions › Chile › Universidad Católica vs Deportes Limache
Chilean Primera DivisionSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Chile time

Universidad Católica vs Deportes Limache prediction

Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Universidad CatólicaHome
1.87 : 1.61
expected goals
Deportes LimacheAway
44%U Católica
23%Draw
33%Limache
Eagle safe pickBoth teams to score
1.47

Quick answer

Our prediction for Universidad Católica vs Deportes Limache is Universidad Católica to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.47.

Prediction
Universidad Católica to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Universidad Católica 1.9, Deportes Limache 1.6
Best bet
Both teams to score at 1.47
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Both teams to score
68% chanceFair price 1.471 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Universidad Católica to win and Over 2.5
33% chanceFair price 3.071 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Universidad Católica 44%, the draw 23% and Deportes Limache 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Universidad Católica took 10 points from their last 5 games and Deportes Limache took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Universidad Católica won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Deportes Limache won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Universidad Católica score 1.7 goals a game and let in 1.3. Deportes Limache score 1.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Universidad Católica games and 14 of Deportes Limache games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Universidad Católica won 2 and Deportes Limache won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Deportes Limache 0, Universidad Católica 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Both teams to score has a 68% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Limacherecent form+1%
  • U Católicarest between games-5%
U Católica form D L D D WLimache form D D L W WHome edge in this league 30% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Universidad Católica vs Deportes Limache: Universidad Católica shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Universidad Católica host Deportes Limache in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo. Our prediction for Universidad Católica vs Deportes Limache is Universidad Católica to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.47.

Universidad Católica form

Universidad Católica have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Deportes Limache form

Deportes Limache have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Universidad Católica won 2, Deportes Limache won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Deportes Limache 0, Universidad Católica 2.

Our call

We expect Universidad Católica to score about 1.9 goals and Deportes Limache about 1.6. That points to Universidad Católica to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Both teams to score at 1.47. Our bold bet is Universidad Católica to win and Over 2.5 at 3.07.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

U CatólicaLimache
Games played2020
Wins118
Draws42
Losses510
Goals scored3435
Goals conceded2532
Scored per game1.71.8
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record4W 3D 3L4W 1D 4L
Away record7W 1D 2L4W 1D 6L
Clean sheets35%25%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals87%1.15
Over 2.5 goals68%1.48
Over 3.5 goals46%2.18
Both teams to score68%1.47
Universidad Católica or Draw67%1.49
Deportes Limache or Draw56%1.78
Universidad Católica to win and Over 2.533%3.01
Deportes Limache to win and Over 2.525%4.07
Universidad Católica clean sheet20%5.00
Deportes Limache clean sheet15%6.51

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.8%
2-18.7%
1-27.5%
2-27.0%
3-15.4%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Universidad Católica vs Deportes Limache?

Our prediction for Universidad Católica vs Deportes Limache is Universidad Católica to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Both teams to score at 1.47.

What is the score prediction for Universidad Católica vs Deportes Limache?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Universidad Católica to score 1.9 goals and Deportes Limache 1.6.

Will both teams score in Universidad Católica vs Deportes Limache?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Universidad Católica last 20 games and 10 of Deportes Limache last 20.

How are Universidad Católica playing?

Universidad Católica have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Deportes Limache playing?

Deportes Limache have 8 wins, 2 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Universidad Católica and Deportes Limache last met?

It ended Deportes Limache 0, Universidad Católica 2. In the last 2 meetings Universidad Católica won 2 and Deportes Limache won 0.

What is the best bet for Universidad Católica vs Deportes Limache?

Both teams to score at 1.47, with a 68% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in U Católica against Limache. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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