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Predictions › Chile › Universidad Católica vs Universidad de Chile
Chilean Primera DivisionSun 1 Nov, 20:15 Chile time

Universidad Católica vs Universidad de Chile prediction

Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo

Universidad CatólicaHome
1.47 : 1.40
expected goals
Universidad de ChileAway
39%U Católica
26%Draw
35%U de Chile
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Universidad Católica vs Universidad de Chile is Universidad Católica to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Prediction
Universidad Católica to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Universidad Católica 1.5, Universidad de Chile 1.4
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.28
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.282 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
12% chanceFair price 8.091 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Universidad Católica 39%, the draw 26% and Universidad de Chile 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Universidad Católica took 12 points from their last 5 games and Universidad de Chile took 9 from 5. Universidad Católica come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Universidad Católica won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Universidad de Chile won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Universidad Católica score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Universidad de Chile score 1.9 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Universidad Católica games and 11 of Universidad de Chile games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Universidad Católica won 1 and Universidad de Chile won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Universidad de Chile 1, Universidad Católica 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • U Católicarecent form+4%
  • U de Chilerecent form+1%
  • U Católicarest between games-3%
U Católica form D D W W WU de Chile form D L D W WHome edge in this league 29% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Universidad Católica vs Universidad de Chile: Universidad Católica shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Universidad Católica host Universidad de Chile in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 1 Nov, 20:15 at Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo. Our prediction for Universidad Católica vs Universidad de Chile is Universidad Católica to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

Universidad Católica form

Universidad Católica have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Universidad de Chile form

Universidad de Chile have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Universidad Católica won 1, Universidad de Chile won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Universidad de Chile 1, Universidad Católica 0.

Our call

We expect Universidad Católica to score about 1.5 goals and Universidad de Chile about 1.4. That points to Universidad Católica to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.09.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

U CatólicaU de Chile
Games played2020
Wins1113
Draws33
Losses64
Goals scored3338
Goals conceded2415
Scored per game1.61.9
Conceded per game1.20.8
Home record4W 2D 4L8W 1D 1L
Away record7W 1D 2L5W 2D 3L
Clean sheets35%45%
Both teams scored50%45%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.83
Over 3.5 goals32%3.09
Both teams to score59%1.70
Universidad Católica or Draw65%1.54
Universidad de Chile or Draw61%1.63
Universidad Católica to win and Over 2.525%4.04
Universidad de Chile to win and Over 2.522%4.46
Universidad Católica clean sheet25%4.05
Universidad de Chile clean sheet23%4.37

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
2-18.6%
1-28.2%
1-07.6%
0-17.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Universidad Católica vs Universidad de Chile?

Our prediction for Universidad Católica vs Universidad de Chile is Universidad Católica to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Universidad Católica vs Universidad de Chile?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Universidad Católica to score 1.5 goals and Universidad de Chile 1.4.

Will both teams score in Universidad Católica vs Universidad de Chile?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Universidad Católica last 20 games and 9 of Universidad de Chile last 20.

How are Universidad Católica playing?

Universidad Católica have 11 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Universidad de Chile playing?

Universidad de Chile have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 38 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Universidad Católica and Universidad de Chile last met?

It ended Universidad de Chile 1, Universidad Católica 0. In the last 2 meetings Universidad Católica won 1 and Universidad de Chile won 1.

What is the best bet for Universidad Católica vs Universidad de Chile?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in U Católica against U de Chile. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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