Predictions › Chile › Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal

Chilean Primera DivisionSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Chile time

Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal prediction

Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

Universidad de ChileHome

2.99 : 0.95

expected goals

CobresalAway

78%U de Chile

14%Draw

9%Cobresal

Eagle safe pickUniversidad de Chile to win

1.28

Quick answer

Our prediction for Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal is Universidad de Chile to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Universidad de Chile to win at 1.28.

Prediction: Universidad de Chile to win
Chance: 78%
Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals: Universidad de Chile 3.0, Cobresal 0.9
Best bet: Universidad de Chile to win at 1.28
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Universidad de Chile to win

78% chanceFair price 1.282 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Universidad de Chile to win and both score

41% chanceFair price 2.441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Universidad de Chile 78%, the draw 14% and Cobresal 9%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Universidad de Chile took 12 points from their last 5 games and Cobresal took 8 from 5. Universidad de Chile come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Universidad de Chile won 9 of their last 11 games at home. Cobresal won 0 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Universidad de Chile score 2.0 goals a game and let in 0.8. Cobresal score 1.4 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Universidad de Chile games and 12 of Cobresal games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Universidad de Chile won 0 and Cobresal won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Cobresal 1, Universidad de Chile 0.
6
The safest bet
Universidad de Chile to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

U de Chilerecent form+1%
Cobresalrecent form+1%

U de Chile form D W L D WCobresal form D D W L WHome edge in this league 30% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal: Universidad de Chile are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Universidad de Chile host Cobresal in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos. Our prediction for Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal is Universidad de Chile to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Universidad de Chile to win at 1.28.

Universidad de Chile form

Universidad de Chile have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have 9 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Cobresal form

Cobresal have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Universidad de Chile won 0, Cobresal won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Cobresal 1, Universidad de Chile 0.

Our call

We expect Universidad de Chile to score about 3.0 goals and Cobresal about 0.9. That points to Universidad de Chile to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Universidad de Chile to win at 1.28. Our bold bet is Universidad de Chile to win and both score at 2.44.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	U de Chile	Cobresal
Games played	20	20
Wins	13	4
Draws	3	4
Losses	4	12
Goals scored	41	28
Goals conceded	16	42
Scored per game	2.0	1.4
Conceded per game	0.8	2.1
Home record	9W 1D 1L	4W 1D 4L
Away record	4W 2D 3L	0W 3D 8L
Clean sheets	40%	15%
Both teams scored	50%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	91%	1.10
Over 2.5 goals	75%	1.33
Over 3.5 goals	55%	1.80
Both teams to score	59%	1.71
Universidad de Chile or Draw	92%	1.09
Cobresal or Draw	22%	4.53
Universidad de Chile to win and Over 2.5	64%	1.57
Cobresal to win and Over 2.5	6%	16.40
Universidad de Chile clean sheet	39%	2.59
Cobresal clean sheet	5%	19.82

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

2-08.7%

3-08.7%

2-18.3%

3-18.2%

4-06.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal?

Our prediction for Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal is Universidad de Chile to win, with a 78% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Universidad de Chile to win at 1.28.

What is the score prediction for Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Universidad de Chile to score 3.0 goals and Cobresal 0.9.

Will both teams score in Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Universidad de Chile last 20 games and 11 of Cobresal last 20.

How are Universidad de Chile playing?

How are Cobresal playing?

What happened when Universidad de Chile and Cobresal last met?

It ended Cobresal 1, Universidad de Chile 0. In the last 1 meeting Universidad de Chile won 0 and Cobresal won 1.

What is the best bet for Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal?

Universidad de Chile to win at 1.28, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in U de Chile against Cobresal. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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