Predictions › Chile › Universidad de Concepción vs O'Higgins

Chilean Primera DivisionSun 8 Nov, 20:00 Chile time

Universidad de Concepción vs O'Higgins prediction

Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo

Universidad de ConcepciónHome

0.93 : 1.32

expected goals

O'HigginsAway

26%U Concepción

30%Draw

45%O'Higgins

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Universidad de Concepción vs O'Higgins is O'Higgins to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction: O'Higgins to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Universidad de Concepción 0.9, O'Higgins 1.3
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score: 45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.281 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Universidad de Concepción 26%, the draw 30% and O'Higgins 45%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Universidad de Concepción took 1 point from their last 5 games and O'Higgins took 4 from 5. O'Higgins come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Universidad de Concepción won 3 of their last 9 games at home. O'Higgins won 3 of their last 12 on the road.
4
Goals
Universidad de Concepción score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.6. O'Higgins score 1.1 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Universidad de Concepción games and 9 of O'Higgins games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Universidad de Concepción won 1 and O'Higgins won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended O'Higgins 0, Universidad de Concepción 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

U Concepciónrecent form-4%
O'Higginsrecent form+3%

U Concepción form D D L L LO'Higgins form D L W W WHome edge in this league 30% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Universidad de Concepción vs O'Higgins: O'Higgins shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Universidad de Concepción host O'Higgins in the Chilean Primera Division on Sun 8 Nov, 20:00 at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo. Our prediction for Universidad de Concepción vs O'Higgins is O'Higgins to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Universidad de Concepción form

Universidad de Concepción have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

O'Higgins form

O'Higgins have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Universidad de Concepción won 1, O'Higgins won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished O'Higgins 0, Universidad de Concepción 1.

Our call

We expect Universidad de Concepción to score about 0.9 goals and O'Higgins about 1.3. That points to O'Higgins to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.28.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	U Concepción	O'Higgins
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	5
Draws	4	4
Losses	12	11
Goals scored	14	22
Goals conceded	33	33
Scored per game	0.7	1.1
Conceded per game	1.6	1.6
Home record	3W 1D 5L	2W 1D 5L
Away record	1W 3D 7L	3W 3D 6L
Clean sheets	20%	10%
Both teams scored	45%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	66%	1.50
Over 2.5 goals	39%	2.56
Over 3.5 goals	19%	5.26
Both teams to score	45%	2.22
Universidad de Concepción or Draw	55%	1.81
O'Higgins or Draw	74%	1.35
Universidad de Concepción to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.32
O'Higgins to win and Over 2.5	22%	4.46
Universidad de Concepción clean sheet	27%	3.73
O'Higgins clean sheet	39%	2.54

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.7%

0-113.1%

0-011.3%

0-29.1%

1-09.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Universidad de Concepción vs O'Higgins?

Our prediction for Universidad de Concepción vs O'Higgins is O'Higgins to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Universidad de Concepción vs O'Higgins?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 0-0. We expect Universidad de Concepción to score 0.9 goals and O'Higgins 1.3.

Will both teams score in Universidad de Concepción vs O'Higgins?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Universidad de Concepción last 20 games and 10 of O'Higgins last 20.

How are Universidad de Concepción playing?

How are O'Higgins playing?

What happened when Universidad de Concepción and O'Higgins last met?

It ended O'Higgins 0, Universidad de Concepción 1. In the last 1 meeting Universidad de Concepción won 1 and O'Higgins won 0.

What is the best bet for Universidad de Concepción vs O'Higgins?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.23, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in U Concepción against O'Higgins. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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