Predictions › Peru › Universitario vs Juan Pablo II

Peruvian Liga 1Sun 25 Oct, 00:30 Peru time

Universitario vs Juan Pablo II prediction

Estadio Monumental de Lima

UniversitarioHome

2.10 : 1.09

expected goals

Juan Pablo IIAway

60%Universitario

22%Draw

18%Juan Pablo II

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for Universitario vs Juan Pablo II is Universitario to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction: Universitario to win
Chance: 60%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Universitario 2.1, Juan Pablo II 1.1
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score: 59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

82% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Universitario to win and Over 2.5

43% chanceFair price 2.321 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Universitario 60%, the draw 22% and Juan Pablo II 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Universitario took 8 points from their last 5 games and Juan Pablo II took 11 from 5. Juan Pablo II come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Universitario won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Juan Pablo II won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Universitario score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Juan Pablo II score 1.5 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Universitario games and 11 of Juan Pablo II games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Universitario won 2 and Juan Pablo II won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Juan Pablo II 1, Universitario 4.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Universitariorecent form+1%
Juan Pablo IIrecent form+4%

Universitario form D L W D WJuan Pablo II form D W W D WHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Universitario vs Juan Pablo II: Universitario are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Universitario host Juan Pablo II in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Sun 25 Oct, 00:30 at Estadio Monumental de Lima. Our prediction for Universitario vs Juan Pablo II is Universitario to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

Universitario form

Universitario have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Juan Pablo II form

Juan Pablo II have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Universitario won 2, Juan Pablo II won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Juan Pablo II 1, Universitario 4.

Our call

We expect Universitario to score about 2.1 goals and Juan Pablo II about 1.1. That points to Universitario to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Universitario to win and Over 2.5 at 2.32.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Universitario	Juan Pablo II
Games played	20	20
Wins	9	6
Draws	7	7
Losses	4	7
Goals scored	32	30
Goals conceded	25	33
Scored per game	1.6	1.5
Conceded per game	1.3	1.6
Home record	4W 4D 1L	4W 4D 2L
Away record	5W 3D 3L	2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	25%	15%
Both teams scored	60%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	65%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	40%	2.53
Both teams to score	59%	1.70
Universitario or Draw	82%	1.23
Juan Pablo II or Draw	40%	2.50
Universitario to win and Over 2.5	43%	2.34
Juan Pablo II to win and Over 2.5	12%	8.32
Universitario clean sheet	34%	2.98
Juan Pablo II clean sheet	12%	8.17

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.0%

2-19.9%

2-09.1%

1-08.1%

3-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Universitario vs Juan Pablo II?

Our prediction for Universitario vs Juan Pablo II is Universitario to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for Universitario vs Juan Pablo II?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Universitario to score 2.1 goals and Juan Pablo II 1.1.

Will both teams score in Universitario vs Juan Pablo II?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Universitario last 20 games and 13 of Juan Pablo II last 20.

How are Universitario playing?

How are Juan Pablo II playing?

What happened when Universitario and Juan Pablo II last met?

It ended Juan Pablo II 1, Universitario 4. In the last 2 meetings Universitario won 2 and Juan Pablo II won 0.

What is the best bet for Universitario vs Juan Pablo II?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Universitario against Juan Pablo II. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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