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Predictions › Peru › Universitario vs Sport Boys
Peruvian Liga 1Thu 29 Oct, 01:30 Peru time

Universitario vs Sport Boys prediction

Estadio Monumental de Lima

UniversitarioHome
1.70 : 0.76
expected goals
Sport BoysAway
59%Universitario
25%Draw
16%Sport Boys
Eagle safe pickUniversitario or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Universitario vs Sport Boys is Universitario to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Universitario or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
Universitario to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-0
Expected goals
Universitario 1.7, Sport Boys 0.8
Best bet
Universitario or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
44%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Universitario or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Universitario to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Universitario 59%, the draw 25% and Sport Boys 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Universitario took 8 points from their last 5 games and Sport Boys took 4 from 5. Universitario come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Universitario won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Sport Boys won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Universitario score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.2. Sport Boys score 1.1 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Universitario games and 5 of Sport Boys games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Universitario won 0 and Sport Boys won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Sport Boys 0, Universitario 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Universitario or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Sport Boysrecent form-1%
Universitario form D D L W DSport Boys form D L D W LHome edge in this league 43% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Universitario vs Sport Boys: Universitario are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Universitario host Sport Boys in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Thu 29 Oct, 01:30 at Estadio Monumental de Lima. Our prediction for Universitario vs Sport Boys is Universitario to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Universitario or Draw at 1.19.

Universitario form

Universitario have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, D, newest first.

Sport Boys form

Sport Boys have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Universitario won 0, Sport Boys won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Sport Boys 0, Universitario 0.

Our call

We expect Universitario to score about 1.7 goals and Sport Boys about 0.8. That points to Universitario to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Universitario or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Universitario to win and Over 2.5 at 3.13.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

UniversitarioSport Boys
Games played2020
Wins98
Draws76
Losses46
Goals scored3222
Goals conceded2419
Scored per game1.61.1
Conceded per game1.20.9
Home record3W 4D 1L6W 3D 2L
Away record6W 3D 3L2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets25%45%
Both teams scored60%45%
Over 2.5 goals65%25%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals45%2.24
Over 3.5 goals23%4.28
Both teams to score44%2.26
Universitario or Draw84%1.19
Sport Boys or Draw41%2.44
Universitario to win and Over 2.533%3.04
Sport Boys to win and Over 2.58%13.25
Universitario clean sheet47%2.14
Sport Boys clean sheet18%5.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-013.8%
2-012.3%
1-111.7%
2-19.4%
0-09.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Universitario vs Sport Boys?

Our prediction for Universitario vs Sport Boys is Universitario to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Universitario or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Universitario vs Sport Boys?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Universitario to score 1.7 goals and Sport Boys 0.8.

Will both teams score in Universitario vs Sport Boys?

Both teams to score has a 44% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Universitario last 20 games and 9 of Sport Boys last 20.

How are Universitario playing?

Universitario have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, D, newest first.

How are Sport Boys playing?

Sport Boys have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Universitario and Sport Boys last met?

It ended Sport Boys 0, Universitario 0. In the last 1 meeting Universitario won 0 and Sport Boys won 0.

What is the best bet for Universitario vs Sport Boys?

Universitario or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Universitario against Sport Boys. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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