EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › UNLV Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos
College FootballSat 14 Nov, 19:30 United States time

UNLV Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos prediction

University Stadium (NM)

UNLV RebelsAway
18.1 : 32.6
projected points
New Mexico LobosHome
18%UNLV
82%New Mexico
Eagle safe pickNew Mexico to win
-455

Quick answer

Our prediction for UNLV Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 82% chance. We project UNLV Rebels 18.1 and New Mexico Lobos 32.6. Our best bet is New Mexico to win at -455.

Prediction
New Mexico Lobos to win
Chance
82%
Projected score
UNLV Rebels 18, New Mexico Lobos 33
Projected total
50.7 points
Best bet
New Mexico to win at -455

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

New Mexico to win
82% chanceFair price -4552 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Mexico Lobos 82% and UNLV Rebels 18%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Mexico Lobos won 5 of their last 5 and UNLV Rebels won 4 of their last 5. New Mexico Lobos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Mexico Lobos won 9 of their last 9 games at home. UNLV Rebels won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Mexico Lobos score 30.7 points a game and let in 17.3. UNLV Rebels score 30.1 and let in 26.7. Their recent games average 48.0 and 56.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, New Mexico Lobos won 1 and UNLV Rebels won 0. The last one ended UNLV Rebels 35, New Mexico Lobos 40.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    New Mexico to win has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UNLV Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos: New Mexico Lobos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New Mexico Lobos host UNLV Rebels in the College Football on Sat 14 Nov, 19:30 at University Stadium (NM). Our prediction for UNLV Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 82% chance. We project UNLV Rebels 18.1 and New Mexico Lobos 32.6. Our best bet is New Mexico to win at -455.

New Mexico Lobos form

New Mexico Lobos have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 19 games, with 583 points scored and 329 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

UNLV Rebels form

UNLV Rebels have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 571 points scored and 507 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. New Mexico Lobos won 1, UNLV Rebels won 0. Last time out it finished UNLV Rebels 35, New Mexico Lobos 40.

Our call

We expect UNLV Rebels to score about 18.1 points and New Mexico Lobos about 32.6. That points to New Mexico Lobos to win. Our safest bet is New Mexico to win at -455.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

New MexicoUNLV
Games played1919
Wins1512
Losses47
Points scored583571
Points conceded329507
Scored per game30.730.1
Conceded per game17.326.7
Home record9W 0L6W 2L
Away record6W 4L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

New Mexico spreadCoversFair
New Mexico -21.533%+203
New Mexico -17.543%+135
New Mexico -14.550%+100
New Mexico -11.557%-135
New Mexico -7.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
43.567%33%
47.558%42%
50.550%50%
53.543%57%
57.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. New Mexico +3.5 wins if New Mexico win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win UNLV Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos?

Our prediction for UNLV Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 82% chance. We project UNLV Rebels 18.1 and New Mexico Lobos 32.6. Our best bet is New Mexico to win at -455.

What is the projected score for UNLV Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos?

We project UNLV Rebels 18.1 and New Mexico Lobos 32.6, about 50.7 points in total.

How are New Mexico Lobos playing?

New Mexico Lobos have 15 wins and 4 losses in their last 19 games, with 583 points scored and 329 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are UNLV Rebels playing?

UNLV Rebels have 12 wins and 7 losses in their last 19 games, with 571 points scored and 507 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when New Mexico Lobos and UNLV Rebels last met?

It ended UNLV Rebels 35, New Mexico Lobos 40. In the last 1 meeting New Mexico Lobos won 1 and UNLV Rebels won 0.

What is the best bet for UNLV Rebels vs New Mexico Lobos?

New Mexico to win at -455, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in New Mexico against UNLV. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.