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Predictions › United States › UNLV Rebels vs San José State Spartans
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 19:00 United States time

UNLV Rebels vs San José State Spartans prediction

CEFCU Stadium

UNLV RebelsAway
24.9 : 22.8
projected points
San José State SpartansHome
57%UNLV
43%San José St
Eagle safe pickSan José St +12.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for UNLV Rebels vs San José State Spartans is UNLV Rebels to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project UNLV Rebels 24.9 and San José State Spartans 22.8. Our best bet is San José St +12.5 at -303.

Prediction
UNLV Rebels to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
UNLV Rebels 25, San José State Spartans 23
Projected total
47.6 points
Best bet
San José St +12.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

San José St +12.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

San José St to win
43% chanceFair price +1351 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives San José State Spartans 43% and UNLV Rebels 57%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    San José State Spartans won 2 of their last 5 and UNLV Rebels won 3 of their last 5. UNLV Rebels come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    San José State Spartans won 5 of their last 10 games at home. UNLV Rebels won 6 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    San José State Spartans score 22.3 points a game and let in 27.8. UNLV Rebels score 30.3 and let in 27.4. Their recent games average 50.0 and 57.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    San José St +12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UNLV Rebels vs San José State Spartans: UNLV Rebels shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

San José State Spartans host UNLV Rebels in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 19:00 at CEFCU Stadium. Our prediction for UNLV Rebels vs San José State Spartans is UNLV Rebels to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project UNLV Rebels 24.9 and San José State Spartans 22.8. Our best bet is San José St +12.5 at -303.

San José State Spartans form

San José State Spartans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 445 points scored and 556 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

UNLV Rebels form

UNLV Rebels have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 606 points scored and 548 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect UNLV Rebels to score about 24.9 points and San José State Spartans about 22.8. That points to UNLV Rebels to win. Our safest bet is San José St +12.5 at -303. Our bold bet is San José St to win at +135.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

San José StUNLV
Games played2020
Wins812
Losses128
Points scored445606
Points conceded556548
Scored per game22.330.3
Conceded per game27.827.4
Home record5W 5L6W 3L
Away record3W 7L6W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

San José St spreadCoversFair
San José St -4.534%+194
San José St -0.544%+130
San José St +2.551%-104
San José St +5.558%-140
San José St +9.568%-211
Total pointsOverUnder
40.567%33%
44.558%42%
47.550%50%
50.543%57%
54.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. San José St +3.5 wins if San José St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win UNLV Rebels vs San José State Spartans?

Our prediction for UNLV Rebels vs San José State Spartans is UNLV Rebels to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project UNLV Rebels 24.9 and San José State Spartans 22.8. Our best bet is San José St +12.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for UNLV Rebels vs San José State Spartans?

We project UNLV Rebels 24.9 and San José State Spartans 22.8, about 47.6 points in total.

How are San José State Spartans playing?

San José State Spartans have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 445 points scored and 556 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are UNLV Rebels playing?

UNLV Rebels have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 606 points scored and 548 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for UNLV Rebels vs San José State Spartans?

San José St +12.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in San José St against UNLV. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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