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Predictions › Japan › Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
J1 LeagueWed 21 Oct, 10:30 Japan time

Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba prediction

Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa Red DiamondsHome
1.96 : 1.09
expected goals
JEF United Ichihara-ChibaAway
57%Urawa Reds
23%Draw
20%JEF Utd Chiba
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Urawa Red Diamonds to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Urawa Red Diamonds to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Urawa Red Diamonds 2.0, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Urawa Red Diamonds to win and Over 2.5
37% chanceFair price 2.691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Urawa Red Diamonds 57%, the draw 23% and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 20%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Urawa Red Diamonds took 9 points from their last 5 games and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba took 5 from 5. Urawa Red Diamonds come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Urawa Red Diamonds won 4 of their last 10 games at home. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Urawa Red Diamonds score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba score 1.0 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Urawa Red Diamonds games and 11 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Urawa Red Diamonds won 2 and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Urawa Red Diamonds 2, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Urawa Redsrecent form+3%
  • JEF Utd Chibarecent form-1%
  • Urawa Redsrest between games-5%
  • JEF Utd Chibarest between games-5%
Urawa Reds form D W L W WJEF Utd Chiba form D L D W LHome edge in this league 16% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba: Urawa Red Diamonds are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Urawa Red Diamonds host JEF United Ichihara-Chiba in the J1 League on Wed 21 Oct, 10:30 at Saitama Stadium 2002. Our prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Urawa Red Diamonds to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Urawa Red Diamonds form

Urawa Red Diamonds have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba form

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Urawa Red Diamonds won 2, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Urawa Red Diamonds 2, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 0.

Our call

We expect Urawa Red Diamonds to score about 2.0 goals and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba about 1.1. That points to Urawa Red Diamonds to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Urawa Red Diamonds to win and Over 2.5 at 2.69.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Urawa RedsJEF Utd Chiba
Games played2020
Wins82
Draws34
Losses914
Goals scored2920
Goals conceded3140
Scored per game1.41.0
Conceded per game1.62.0
Home record4W 2D 4L1W 2D 6L
Away record4W 1D 5L1W 2D 8L
Clean sheets25%10%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals50%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.70
Over 3.5 goals36%2.76
Both teams to score58%1.74
Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw80%1.25
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw43%2.32
Urawa Red Diamonds to win and Over 2.539%2.56
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win and Over 2.513%7.85
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet34%2.97
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet14%7.06

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.8%
2-19.9%
2-09.1%
1-08.7%
3-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Our prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Urawa Red Diamonds to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Urawa Red Diamonds to score 2.0 goals and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1.1.

Will both teams score in Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Urawa Red Diamonds last 20 games and 11 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba last 20.

How are Urawa Red Diamonds playing?

Urawa Red Diamonds have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are JEF United Ichihara-Chiba playing?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 2 wins, 4 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 8 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Urawa Red Diamonds and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba last met?

It ended Urawa Red Diamonds 2, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 0. In the last 2 meetings Urawa Red Diamonds won 2 and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 0.

What is the best bet for Urawa Red Diamonds vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Urawa Reds against JEF Utd Chiba. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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