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Predictions › United States › USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 19:30 United States time

USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers prediction

Camp Randall Stadium

USC TrojansAway
26.5 : 25.7
projected points
Wisconsin BadgersHome
54%USC
46%Wisconsin
Eagle safe pickWisconsin +11.5
-299

Quick answer

Our prediction for USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers is USC Trojans to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project USC Trojans 26.5 and Wisconsin Badgers 25.7. Our best bet is Wisconsin +11.5 at -299.

Prediction
USC Trojans to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
USC Trojans 26, Wisconsin Badgers 26
Projected total
52.1 points
Best bet
Wisconsin +11.5 at -299

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Wisconsin +11.5
75% chanceFair price -2991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Wisconsin Badgers 46% and USC Trojans 54%. The bookmakers agree and make USC Trojans the favourite at -120.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Wisconsin Badgers won 4 of their last 5 and USC Trojans won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Wisconsin Badgers won 5 of their last 8 games at home. USC Trojans won 4 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Wisconsin Badgers score 16.9 points a game and let in 22.1. USC Trojans score 32.7 and let in 24.6. Their recent games average 39.0 and 57.2 points in total, and the market line is 52.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Wisconsin +11.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers: USC Trojans shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Wisconsin Badgers host USC Trojans in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 at Camp Randall Stadium. Our prediction for USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers is USC Trojans to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project USC Trojans 26.5 and Wisconsin Badgers 25.7. Our best bet is Wisconsin +11.5 at -299.

Wisconsin Badgers form

Wisconsin Badgers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 253 points scored and 332 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

USC Trojans form

USC Trojans have 13 wins and 5 losses in their last 18 games, with 588 points scored and 442 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect USC Trojans to score about 26.5 points and Wisconsin Badgers about 25.7. That points to USC Trojans to win. Our safest bet is Wisconsin +11.5 at -299.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 18 games in all competitions.

WisconsinUSC
Games played1518
Wins613
Losses95
Points scored253588
Points conceded332442
Scored per game16.932.7
Conceded per game22.124.6
Home record5W 3L9W 1L
Away record1W 6L4W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Wisconsin to win46%+116+100-7.4%
USC to win50%+102-120-9.2%
Wisconsin +1.549%+103-110-6.0%
USC -1.547%+115-110-11.0%
Over 52.5 points47%+112-110-9.9%
Under 52.5 points49%+106-110-7.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Wisconsin spreadCoversFair
Wisconsin -6.532%+209
Wisconsin -2.542%+139
Wisconsin +0.549%+103
Wisconsin +3.557%-131
Wisconsin +7.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
45.566%34%
49.557%43%
52.549%51%
55.542%58%
59.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Wisconsin +3.5 wins if Wisconsin win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
College Football

USC Silences Happy Valley With Big Road Victory Over Penn State

USC moved to 6-1 with a 31-23 victory over Penn State in Happy Valley behind three touchdown passes from Jayden Maiava.

11 Oct 2026
College Football

USC Defense Steps Up in Comeback Victory Over Washington

Jahkeem Stewart's fumble return touchdown helped No. 18 USC overcome a double digit deficit to beat Washington 25-21 on Saturday night.

4 Oct 2026
College Football

Raiola Leads Oregon Past USC After Moore Leaves in Ambulance

Dylan Raiola threw two touchdowns after starting quarterback Dante Moore was injured, leading Oregon to a 41-27 road win over USC.

27 Sept 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

Our prediction for USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers is USC Trojans to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project USC Trojans 26.5 and Wisconsin Badgers 25.7. Our best bet is Wisconsin +11.5 at -299.

What is the projected score for USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

We project USC Trojans 26.5 and Wisconsin Badgers 25.7, about 52.1 points in total.

How are Wisconsin Badgers playing?

Wisconsin Badgers have 6 wins and 9 losses in their last 15 games, with 253 points scored and 332 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are USC Trojans playing?

USC Trojans have 13 wins and 5 losses in their last 18 games, with 588 points scored and 442 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for USC Trojans vs Wisconsin Badgers?

Wisconsin +11.5 at -299, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Wisconsin against USC. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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