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Predictions › United States › Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks
NBAFri 6 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks prediction

American Airlines Center

Utah JazzAway
119.9 : 122.7
projected points
Dallas MavericksHome
47%Jazz
53%Mavericks
Eagle safe pickMavericks +5.5
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Jazz 119.9 and Dallas Mavericks 122.7. Our best bet is Mavericks +5.5 at -310.

Prediction
Dallas Mavericks to win
Chance
53%
Projected score
Utah Jazz 120, Dallas Mavericks 123
Projected total
242.7 points
Best bet
Mavericks +5.5 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mavericks +5.5
76% chanceFair price -3102 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Jazz to win
41% chanceFair price +1461 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Dallas Mavericks 53% and Utah Jazz 47%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Dallas Mavericks won 2 of their last 5 and Utah Jazz won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Dallas Mavericks won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Utah Jazz won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Dallas Mavericks score 116.8 points a game and let in 123.4. Utah Jazz score 116.7 and let in 126.0. Their recent games average 240.3 and 242.7 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Dallas Mavericks won 3 and Utah Jazz won 2. The last one ended Dallas Mavericks 138, Utah Jazz 120.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mavericks +5.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Mavericksrest between games-5%
  • Jazzrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks: Dallas Mavericks shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Dallas Mavericks host Utah Jazz in the NBA on Fri 6 Nov, 20:00 at American Airlines Center. Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Jazz 119.9 and Dallas Mavericks 122.7. Our best bet is Mavericks +5.5 at -310.

Dallas Mavericks form

Dallas Mavericks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2337 points scored and 2468 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Utah Jazz form

Utah Jazz have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2333 points scored and 2520 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Dallas Mavericks won 3, Utah Jazz won 2. Last time out it finished Dallas Mavericks 138, Utah Jazz 120.

Our call

We expect Utah Jazz to score about 119.9 points and Dallas Mavericks about 122.7. That points to Dallas Mavericks to win. Our safest bet is Mavericks +5.5 at -310. Our bold bet is Jazz to win at +146.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

MavericksJazz
Games played2020
Wins65
Losses1415
Points scored23372333
Points conceded24682520
Scored per game116.8116.7
Conceded per game123.4126.0
Home record2W 8L3W 8L
Away record4W 6L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Mavericks spreadCoversFair
Mavericks -8.532%+208
Mavericks -5.541%+141
Mavericks -2.551%-104
Mavericks +0.560%-153
Mavericks +3.569%-226
Total pointsOverUnder
236.563%37%
239.557%43%
242.550%50%
245.544%56%
248.537%63%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Mavericks +3.5 wins if Mavericks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news
NBA

Luka Doncic Drops 52 Points as Lakers Beat Jazz in Salt Lake City

Luka Doncic scored 52 points to lead the Los Angeles Lakers to a 132-123 win over the Utah Jazz on Sunday.

26 Oct 2026
NBA

Rockets Trap Kyrie Irving as Dallas Drops Season Opener

Houston rolled to a 128-110 win over Dallas, swarming Kyrie Irving and building a massive lead in the second quarter.

22 Oct 2026
NBA

Mavs and Rockets Bond and Break Rims on Preseason China Trip

The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets are in Macao, China, for a preseason doubleheader, bonding off the court and meeting fans.

8 Oct 2026

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks?

Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks is Dallas Mavericks to win, with a 53% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Jazz 119.9 and Dallas Mavericks 122.7. Our best bet is Mavericks +5.5 at -310.

What is the projected score for Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks?

We project Utah Jazz 119.9 and Dallas Mavericks 122.7, about 242.7 points in total.

How are Dallas Mavericks playing?

Dallas Mavericks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2337 points scored and 2468 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Utah Jazz playing?

Utah Jazz have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 2333 points scored and 2520 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Dallas Mavericks and Utah Jazz last met?

It ended Dallas Mavericks 138, Utah Jazz 120. In the last 5 meetings Dallas Mavericks won 3 and Utah Jazz won 2.

What is the best bet for Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks?

Mavericks +5.5 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Mavericks against Jazz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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