EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsBest bets by countryKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaTanzaniaUgandaZambiaCameroonIvory CoastAll 54 countriesNewsOur recordHow Eagle 2.0 worksResponsible gambling
Predictions › United States › Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
NBASun 4 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets prediction

CU Events Center

Utah JazzAway
115.8 : 129.4
projected points
Denver NuggetsHome
16%Jazz
84%Nuggets
Eagle safe pickNuggets to win
-538

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 84% chance. We project Utah Jazz 115.8 and Denver Nuggets 129.4. Our best bet is Nuggets to win at -538.

Prediction
Denver Nuggets to win
Chance
84%
Projected score
Utah Jazz 116, Denver Nuggets 129
Projected total
245.2 points
Best bet
Nuggets to win at -538

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Nuggets to win
84% chanceFair price -5382 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Denver Nuggets 84% and Utah Jazz 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Denver Nuggets won 1 of their last 5 and Utah Jazz won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Denver Nuggets won 12 of their last 13 games at home. Utah Jazz won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Denver Nuggets score 122.4 points a game and let in 116.3. Utah Jazz score 117.5 and let in 127.8. Their recent games average 238.8 and 245.3 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Denver Nuggets won 4 and Utah Jazz won 0. The last one ended Utah Jazz 117, Denver Nuggets 130.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Nuggets to win has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Nuggetsrest between games-3%
  • Jazzrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets: Denver Nuggets are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Denver Nuggets host Utah Jazz in the NBA on Sun 4 Oct, 19:00 at CU Events Center. Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 84% chance. We project Utah Jazz 115.8 and Denver Nuggets 129.4. Our best bet is Nuggets to win at -538.

Denver Nuggets form

Denver Nuggets have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2448 points scored and 2327 conceded. At home they have 12 wins and 1 loss from 13. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Utah Jazz form

Utah Jazz have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2350 points scored and 2555 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 10 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Denver Nuggets won 4, Utah Jazz won 0. Last time out it finished Utah Jazz 117, Denver Nuggets 130.

Our call

We expect Utah Jazz to score about 115.8 points and Denver Nuggets about 129.4. That points to Denver Nuggets to win. Our safest bet is Nuggets to win at -538.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

NuggetsJazz
Games played2020
Wins154
Losses516
Points scored24482350
Points conceded23272555
Scored per game122.4117.5
Conceded per game116.3127.8
Home record12W 1L3W 6L
Away record3W 4L1W 10L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Nuggets spreadCoversFair
Nuggets -19.532%+213
Nuggets -16.541%+144
Nuggets -13.550%-102
Nuggets -10.560%-150
Nuggets -7.569%-221
Total pointsOverUnder
239.562%38%
242.556%44%
245.549%51%
248.543%57%
251.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Nuggets +3.5 wins if Nuggets win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets?

Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets is Denver Nuggets to win, with a 84% chance. We project Utah Jazz 115.8 and Denver Nuggets 129.4. Our best bet is Nuggets to win at -538.

What is the projected score for Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets?

We project Utah Jazz 115.8 and Denver Nuggets 129.4, about 245.2 points in total.

How are Denver Nuggets playing?

Denver Nuggets have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 2448 points scored and 2327 conceded. At home they have 12 wins and 1 loss from 13. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Utah Jazz playing?

Utah Jazz have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2350 points scored and 2555 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 10 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Denver Nuggets and Utah Jazz last met?

It ended Utah Jazz 117, Denver Nuggets 130. In the last 4 meetings Denver Nuggets won 4 and Utah Jazz won 0.

What is the best bet for Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets?

Nuggets to win at -538, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Nuggets against Jazz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.