Predictions › United States › Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies
NBAWed 21 Oct, 20:00 United States time

Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies prediction

FedExForum

Utah JazzAway
122.2 : 120.6
projected points
Memphis GrizzliesHome
57%Jazz
43%Grizzlies
Eagle safe pickGrizzlies +10.5
-309

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies is Utah Jazz to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Jazz 122.2 and Memphis Grizzlies 120.6. Our best bet is Grizzlies +10.5 at -309.

Prediction
Utah Jazz to win
Chance
57%
Projected score
Utah Jazz 122, Memphis Grizzlies 121
Projected total
242.8 points
Best bet
Grizzlies +10.5 at -309

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Grizzlies +10.5
76% chanceFair price -3092 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Memphis Grizzlies 43% and Utah Jazz 57%. The bookmakers agree and make Utah Jazz the favourite at -130.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Memphis Grizzlies won 2 of their last 5 and Utah Jazz won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Memphis Grizzlies won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Utah Jazz won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Memphis Grizzlies score 111.5 points a game and let in 127.5. Utah Jazz score 117.2 and let in 127.2. Their recent games average 239.1 and 244.4 points in total, and the market line is 242.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Memphis Grizzlies won 2 and Utah Jazz won 2. The last one ended Utah Jazz 147, Memphis Grizzlies 101.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Grizzlies +10.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Grizzliesrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies: Utah Jazz shade it

The big picture

Memphis Grizzlies host Utah Jazz in the NBA on Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 at FedExForum. Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies is Utah Jazz to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Jazz 122.2 and Memphis Grizzlies 120.6. Our best bet is Grizzlies +10.5 at -309.

Memphis Grizzlies form

Memphis Grizzlies have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2230 points scored and 2551 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Utah Jazz form

Utah Jazz have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2344 points scored and 2544 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Memphis Grizzlies won 2, Utah Jazz won 2. Last time out it finished Utah Jazz 147, Memphis Grizzlies 101.

Our call

We expect Utah Jazz to score about 122.2 points and Memphis Grizzlies about 120.6. That points to Utah Jazz to win. Our safest bet is Grizzlies +10.5 at -309.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

GrizzliesJazz
Games played2020
Wins44
Losses1616
Points scored22302344
Points conceded25512544
Scored per game111.5117.2
Conceded per game127.5127.2
Home record2W 8L3W 7L
Away record2W 8L1W 9L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Grizzlies to win43%+130+110-8.7%
Jazz to win51%-105-130-9.6%
Grizzlies +2.550%+102-110-5.3%
Jazz -2.545%+122-110-14.1%
Over 242.5 points48%+109-110-8.5%
Under 242.5 points47%+114-110-10.9%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Grizzlies spreadCoversFair
Grizzlies -4.531%+220
Grizzlies -1.540%+149
Grizzlies +1.550%+102
Grizzlies +4.559%-144
Grizzlies +7.568%-213
Total pointsOverUnder
236.564%36%
239.557%43%
242.551%49%
245.544%56%
248.538%62%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Grizzlies +3.5 wins if Grizzlies win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies is Utah Jazz to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Jazz 122.2 and Memphis Grizzlies 120.6. Our best bet is Grizzlies +10.5 at -309.

What is the projected score for Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies?

We project Utah Jazz 122.2 and Memphis Grizzlies 120.6, about 242.8 points in total.

How are Memphis Grizzlies playing?

Memphis Grizzlies have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2230 points scored and 2551 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Utah Jazz playing?

Utah Jazz have 4 wins and 16 losses in their last 20 games, with 2344 points scored and 2544 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 9 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Memphis Grizzlies and Utah Jazz last met?

It ended Utah Jazz 147, Memphis Grizzlies 101. In the last 4 meetings Memphis Grizzlies won 2 and Utah Jazz won 2.

What is the best bet for Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies?

Grizzlies +10.5 at -309, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Grizzlies against Jazz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
  • 18 plus only. Betting is for adults. In some countries the legal age is higher and in some it is not allowed at all. You alone are responsible for checking the law where you live.
  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
  • Betting can harm you. If it stops being fun, if you chase losses, or if you hide it from people close to you, stop and get help. Free and private support is available from BeGambleAware, GamCare and Gamblers Anonymous. Read our responsible gambling page for tools that block betting sites.

Full terms are on our disclaimer and terms pages.

Note: Never stake money you need for rent, food, bills or anyone who depends on you.