Predictions › United States › Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans
NBAWed 4 Nov, 20:00 United States time

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction

Smoothie King Center

Utah JazzAway
117.7 : 125.4
projected points
New Orleans PelicansHome
25%Jazz
75%Pelicans
Eagle safe pickPelicans +0.5
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 75% chance. We project Utah Jazz 117.7 and New Orleans Pelicans 125.4. Our best bet is Pelicans +0.5 at -308.

Prediction
New Orleans Pelicans to win
Chance
75%
Projected score
Utah Jazz 118, New Orleans Pelicans 125
Projected total
243.1 points
Best bet
Pelicans +0.5 at -308

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Pelicans +0.5
75% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Jazz to win
25% chanceFair price +2951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Orleans Pelicans 75% and Utah Jazz 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Orleans Pelicans won 2 of their last 5 and Utah Jazz won 3 of their last 5. Utah Jazz come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Orleans Pelicans won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Utah Jazz won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Orleans Pelicans score 115.5 points a game and let in 120.3. Utah Jazz score 117.8 and let in 125.3. Their recent games average 235.8 and 243.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, New Orleans Pelicans won 3 and Utah Jazz won 1. The last one ended Utah Jazz 120, New Orleans Pelicans 119.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Pelicans +0.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Pelicansrest between games-5%
  • Jazzrest between games-5%
  • Pelicansteam news-1%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans: New Orleans Pelicans are favourites

The big picture

New Orleans Pelicans host Utah Jazz in the NBA on Wed 4 Nov, 20:00 at Smoothie King Center. Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 75% chance. We project Utah Jazz 117.7 and New Orleans Pelicans 125.4. Our best bet is Pelicans +0.5 at -308.

New Orleans Pelicans form

New Orleans Pelicans have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2310 points scored and 2407 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Utah Jazz form

Utah Jazz have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2356 points scored and 2506 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. New Orleans Pelicans won 3, Utah Jazz won 1. Last time out it finished Utah Jazz 120, New Orleans Pelicans 119.

Our call

We expect Utah Jazz to score about 117.7 points and New Orleans Pelicans about 125.4. That points to New Orleans Pelicans to win. Our safest bet is Pelicans +0.5 at -308. Our bold bet is Jazz to win at +295.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PelicansJazz
Games played2020
Wins66
Losses1414
Points scored23102356
Points conceded24072506
Scored per game115.5117.8
Conceded per game120.3125.3
Home record4W 4L4W 7L
Away record2W 10L2W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Pelicans spreadCoversFair
Pelicans -13.532%+211
Pelicans -10.541%+143
Pelicans -7.551%-103
Pelicans -4.560%-151
Pelicans -1.569%-222
Total pointsOverUnder
237.562%38%
240.556%44%
243.549%51%
246.543%57%
249.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Pelicans +3.5 wins if Pelicans win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Our prediction for Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans is New Orleans Pelicans to win, with a 75% chance. We project Utah Jazz 117.7 and New Orleans Pelicans 125.4. Our best bet is Pelicans +0.5 at -308.

What is the projected score for Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans?

We project Utah Jazz 117.7 and New Orleans Pelicans 125.4, about 243.1 points in total.

How are New Orleans Pelicans playing?

New Orleans Pelicans have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2310 points scored and 2407 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Utah Jazz playing?

Utah Jazz have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 2356 points scored and 2506 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when New Orleans Pelicans and Utah Jazz last met?

It ended Utah Jazz 120, New Orleans Pelicans 119. In the last 4 meetings New Orleans Pelicans won 3 and Utah Jazz won 1.

What is the best bet for Utah Jazz vs New Orleans Pelicans?

Pelicans +0.5 at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Pelicans against Jazz. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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