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Predictions › United States › Utah Mammoth vs Buffalo Sabres
NHLSat 10 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Utah Mammoth vs Buffalo Sabres prediction

KeyBank Center

Utah MammothAway
3.2 : 3.3
projected goals
Buffalo SabresHome
51%Mammoth
49%Sabres
Eagle safe pickMammoth +2
-380

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Buffalo Sabres is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Mammoth 3.2 and Buffalo Sabres 3.3. Our best bet is Mammoth +2 at -380.

Prediction
Utah Mammoth to win
Chance
51%
Projected score
Utah Mammoth 3, Buffalo Sabres 3
Projected total
6.4 goals
Best bet
Mammoth +2 at -380

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mammoth +2
79% chanceFair price -3802 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Mammoth to win
44% chanceFair price +1251 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Buffalo Sabres 49% and Utah Mammoth 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Buffalo Sabres won 1 of their last 5 and Utah Mammoth won 2 of their last 5. Utah Mammoth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Buffalo Sabres won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Utah Mammoth won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Buffalo Sabres score 3.3 goals a game and let in 2.8. Utah Mammoth score 3.7 and let in 3.6. Their recent games average 6.0 and 7.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Buffalo Sabres won 0 and Utah Mammoth won 2. The last one ended Utah Mammoth 5, Buffalo Sabres 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Mammoth +2 has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah Mammoth vs Buffalo Sabres: Utah Mammoth shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Buffalo Sabres host Utah Mammoth in the NHL on Sat 10 Oct, 19:00 at KeyBank Center. Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Buffalo Sabres is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Mammoth 3.2 and Buffalo Sabres 3.3. Our best bet is Mammoth +2 at -380.

Buffalo Sabres form

Buffalo Sabres have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Utah Mammoth form

Utah Mammoth have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 goals scored and 72 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Buffalo Sabres won 0, Utah Mammoth won 2. Last time out it finished Utah Mammoth 5, Buffalo Sabres 2.

Our call

We expect Utah Mammoth to score about 3.2 goals and Buffalo Sabres about 3.3. That points to Utah Mammoth to win. Our safest bet is Mammoth +2 at -380. Our bold bet is Mammoth to win at +125.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SabresMammoth
Games played2020
Wins1010
Losses1010
Goals scored6574
Goals conceded5572
Scored per game3.33.7
Conceded per game2.83.6
Home record4W 7L5W 5L
Away record6W 3L5W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Sabres spreadCoversFair
Sabres -1.528%+254
Sabres -0.544%+129
Sabres +0.560%-151
Total goalsOverUnder
5.566%34%
6.549%51%
7.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Sabres +3.5 wins if Sabres win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah Mammoth vs Buffalo Sabres?

Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Buffalo Sabres is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 51% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Mammoth 3.2 and Buffalo Sabres 3.3. Our best bet is Mammoth +2 at -380.

What is the projected score for Utah Mammoth vs Buffalo Sabres?

We project Utah Mammoth 3.2 and Buffalo Sabres 3.3, about 6.4 goals in total.

How are Buffalo Sabres playing?

Buffalo Sabres have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 65 goals scored and 55 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Utah Mammoth playing?

Utah Mammoth have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 74 goals scored and 72 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Buffalo Sabres and Utah Mammoth last met?

It ended Utah Mammoth 5, Buffalo Sabres 2. In the last 2 meetings Buffalo Sabres won 0 and Utah Mammoth won 2.

What is the best bet for Utah Mammoth vs Buffalo Sabres?

Mammoth +2 at -380, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Sabres against Mammoth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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