Predictions › United States › Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins
NHLThu 29 Oct, 19:00 United States time

Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction

PPG Paints Arena

Utah MammothAway
3.6 : 3.4
projected goals
Pittsburgh PenguinsHome
54%Mammoth
46%Penguins
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-488

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Mammoth 3.6 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.4. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -488.

Prediction
Utah Mammoth to win
Chance
54%
Projected score
Utah Mammoth 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Projected total
6.9 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -488

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
83% chanceFair price -4882 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Pittsburgh Penguins 46% and Utah Mammoth 54%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 of their last 5 and Utah Mammoth won 3 of their last 5. Utah Mammoth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Pittsburgh Penguins won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Utah Mammoth won 6 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Pittsburgh Penguins score 2.8 goals a game and let in 3.5. Utah Mammoth score 3.4 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.7 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and Utah Mammoth won 1. The last one ended Utah Mammoth 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Penguinsrest between games-2%
  • Mammothrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Utah Mammoth shade it

The big picture

Pittsburgh Penguins host Utah Mammoth in the NHL on Thu 29 Oct, 19:00 at PPG Paints Arena. Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Mammoth 3.6 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.4. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -488.

Pittsburgh Penguins form

Pittsburgh Penguins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 69 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

Utah Mammoth form

Utah Mammoth have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 67 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Pittsburgh Penguins won 1, Utah Mammoth won 1. Last time out it finished Utah Mammoth 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4.

Our call

We expect Utah Mammoth to score about 3.6 goals and Pittsburgh Penguins about 3.4. That points to Utah Mammoth to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -488.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PenguinsMammoth
Games played2020
Wins710
Losses1310
Goals scored5667
Goals conceded6967
Scored per game2.83.4
Conceded per game3.53.4
Home record4W 4L4W 4L
Away record3W 9L6W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Penguins spreadCoversFair
Penguins -0.538%+162
Penguins +0.555%-121
Penguins +1.570%-237
Total goalsOverUnder
5.573%27%
6.558%42%
7.540%60%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Penguins +3.5 wins if Penguins win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project Utah Mammoth 3.6 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.4. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -488.

What is the projected score for Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

We project Utah Mammoth 3.6 and Pittsburgh Penguins 3.4, about 6.9 goals in total.

How are Pittsburgh Penguins playing?

Pittsburgh Penguins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 56 goals scored and 69 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Utah Mammoth playing?

Utah Mammoth have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 67 goals scored and 67 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Pittsburgh Penguins and Utah Mammoth last met?

It ended Utah Mammoth 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4. In the last 2 meetings Pittsburgh Penguins won 1 and Utah Mammoth won 1.

What is the best bet for Utah Mammoth vs Pittsburgh Penguins?

Over 5 goals at -488, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Penguins against Mammoth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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