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Predictions › United States › Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs
NHLTue 3 Nov, 19:00 United States time

Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction

Scotiabank Arena

Utah MammothAway
3.6 : 3.1
projected goals
Toronto Maple LeafsHome
61%Mammoth
39%Maple Leafs
Eagle safe pickOver 5 goals
-391

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 61% chance. We project Utah Mammoth 3.6 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.1. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -391.

Prediction
Utah Mammoth to win
Chance
61%
Projected score
Utah Mammoth 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Projected total
6.7 goals
Best bet
Over 5 goals at -391

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 5 goals
80% chanceFair price -3912 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Maple Leafs to win
39% chanceFair price +1571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Toronto Maple Leafs 39% and Utah Mammoth 61%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 4 of their last 5 and Utah Mammoth won 3 of their last 5. Toronto Maple Leafs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Toronto Maple Leafs won 5 of their last 12 games at home. Utah Mammoth won 6 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Toronto Maple Leafs score 3.6 goals a game and let in 3.4. Utah Mammoth score 3.5 and let in 3.4. Their recent games average 7.0 and 6.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and Utah Mammoth won 2. The last one ended Utah Mammoth 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Maple Leafsrest between games-5%
  • Mammothrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Utah Mammoth are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Toronto Maple Leafs host Utah Mammoth in the NHL on Tue 3 Nov, 19:00 at Scotiabank Arena. Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 61% chance. We project Utah Mammoth 3.6 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.1. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -391.

Toronto Maple Leafs form

Toronto Maple Leafs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 72 goals scored and 67 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Utah Mammoth form

Utah Mammoth have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 67 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Toronto Maple Leafs won 1, Utah Mammoth won 2. Last time out it finished Utah Mammoth 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4.

Our call

We expect Utah Mammoth to score about 3.6 goals and Toronto Maple Leafs about 3.1. That points to Utah Mammoth to win. Our safest bet is Over 5 goals at -391. Our bold bet is Maple Leafs to win at +157.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Maple LeafsMammoth
Games played2020
Wins911
Losses119
Goals scored7270
Goals conceded6767
Scored per game3.63.5
Conceded per game3.43.4
Home record5W 7L5W 3L
Away record4W 4L6W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Maple Leafs spreadCoversFair
Maple Leafs -0.533%+201
Maple Leafs +0.549%+103
Maple Leafs +1.565%-190
Total goalsOverUnder
5.569%31%
6.553%47%
7.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Maple Leafs +3.5 wins if Maple Leafs win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Our prediction for Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs is Utah Mammoth to win, with a 61% chance. We project Utah Mammoth 3.6 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.1. Our best bet is Over 5 goals at -391.

What is the projected score for Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

We project Utah Mammoth 3.6 and Toronto Maple Leafs 3.1, about 6.7 goals in total.

How are Toronto Maple Leafs playing?

Toronto Maple Leafs have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 72 goals scored and 67 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 7 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Utah Mammoth playing?

Utah Mammoth have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 70 goals scored and 67 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 6 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Toronto Maple Leafs and Utah Mammoth last met?

It ended Utah Mammoth 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 4. In the last 3 meetings Toronto Maple Leafs won 1 and Utah Mammoth won 2.

What is the best bet for Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs?

Over 5 goals at -391, with a 80% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Maple Leafs against Mammoth. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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