Predictions › United States › Utah State Aggies vs Oregon State Beavers
College FootballSat 21 Nov, 22:30 United States time

Utah State Aggies vs Oregon State Beavers prediction

Reser Stadium

Utah State AggiesAway
20.4 : 32.6
projected points
Oregon State BeaversHome
22%Utah State
78%Oregon St
Eagle safe pickOregon St to win
-356

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah State Aggies vs Oregon State Beavers is Oregon State Beavers to win, with a 78% chance. We project Utah State Aggies 20.4 and Oregon State Beavers 32.6. Our best bet is Oregon St to win at -356.

Prediction
Oregon State Beavers to win
Chance
78%
Projected score
Utah State Aggies 20, Oregon State Beavers 33
Projected total
53.1 points
Best bet
Oregon St to win at -356

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Oregon St to win
78% chanceFair price -3562 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Oregon State Beavers 78% and Utah State Aggies 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Oregon State Beavers won 3 of their last 5 and Utah State Aggies won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Oregon State Beavers won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Utah State Aggies won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Oregon State Beavers score 27.3 points a game and let in 27.6. Utah State Aggies score 25.2 and let in 24.9. Their recent games average 54.9 and 50.1 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Oregon St to win has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah State Aggies vs Oregon State Beavers: Oregon State Beavers are favourites

The big picture

Oregon State Beavers host Utah State Aggies in the College Football on Sat 21 Nov, 22:30 at Reser Stadium. Our prediction for Utah State Aggies vs Oregon State Beavers is Oregon State Beavers to win, with a 78% chance. We project Utah State Aggies 20.4 and Oregon State Beavers 32.6. Our best bet is Oregon St to win at -356.

Oregon State Beavers form

Oregon State Beavers have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 518 points scored and 525 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Utah State Aggies form

Utah State Aggies have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 504 points scored and 498 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Utah State Aggies to score about 20.4 points and Oregon State Beavers about 32.6. That points to Oregon State Beavers to win. Our safest bet is Oregon St to win at -356.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Oregon StUtah State
Games played1920
Wins79
Losses1211
Points scored518504
Points conceded525498
Scored per game27.325.2
Conceded per game27.624.9
Home record5W 5L8W 3L
Away record2W 7L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Oregon St spreadCoversFair
Oregon St -19.532%+209
Oregon St -15.542%+139
Oregon St -12.549%+103
Oregon St -9.557%-131
Oregon St -5.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
46.566%34%
50.556%44%
53.549%51%
56.542%58%
60.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Oregon St +3.5 wins if Oregon St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah State Aggies vs Oregon State Beavers?

Our prediction for Utah State Aggies vs Oregon State Beavers is Oregon State Beavers to win, with a 78% chance. We project Utah State Aggies 20.4 and Oregon State Beavers 32.6. Our best bet is Oregon St to win at -356.

What is the projected score for Utah State Aggies vs Oregon State Beavers?

We project Utah State Aggies 20.4 and Oregon State Beavers 32.6, about 53.1 points in total.

How are Oregon State Beavers playing?

Oregon State Beavers have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 518 points scored and 525 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Utah State Aggies playing?

Utah State Aggies have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 504 points scored and 498 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Utah State Aggies vs Oregon State Beavers?

Oregon St to win at -356, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oregon St against Utah State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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