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Predictions › United States › Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats
College FootballSat 24 Oct, 19:30 United States time

Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats prediction

UFCU Stadium

Utah State AggiesAway
20.7 : 36.9
projected points
Texas State BobcatsHome
17%Utah State
83%Texas St
Eagle safe pickTexas St to win
-498

Quick answer

Our prediction for Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats is Texas State Bobcats to win, with a 83% chance. We project Utah State Aggies 20.7 and Texas State Bobcats 36.9. Our best bet is Texas St to win at -498.

Prediction
Texas State Bobcats to win
Chance
83%
Projected score
Utah State Aggies 21, Texas State Bobcats 37
Projected total
57.6 points
Best bet
Texas St to win at -498

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Texas St to win
83% chanceFair price -4982 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Texas State Bobcats 83% and Utah State Aggies 17%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Texas State Bobcats won 2 of their last 5 and Utah State Aggies won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Texas State Bobcats won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Utah State Aggies won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Texas State Bobcats score 34.6 points a game and let in 30.0. Utah State Aggies score 25.8 and let in 26.7. Their recent games average 64.6 and 52.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Texas St to win has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats: Texas State Bobcats are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Texas State Bobcats host Utah State Aggies in the College Football on Sat 24 Oct, 19:30 at UFCU Stadium. Our prediction for Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats is Texas State Bobcats to win, with a 83% chance. We project Utah State Aggies 20.7 and Texas State Bobcats 36.9. Our best bet is Texas St to win at -498.

Texas State Bobcats form

Texas State Bobcats have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 553 points scored and 480 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Utah State Aggies form

Utah State Aggies have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 439 points scored and 454 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Utah State Aggies to score about 20.7 points and Texas State Bobcats about 36.9. That points to Texas State Bobcats to win. Our safest bet is Texas St to win at -498.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 17 games in all competitions.

Texas StUtah State
Games played1617
Wins77
Losses910
Points scored553439
Points conceded480454
Scored per game34.625.8
Conceded per game30.026.7
Home record6W 3L6W 3L
Away record1W 6L1W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Texas St spreadCoversFair
Texas St -23.532%+208
Texas St -19.542%+139
Texas St -16.549%+103
Texas St -13.557%-131
Texas St -9.566%-197
Total pointsOverUnder
50.567%33%
54.558%42%
57.550%50%
60.543%57%
64.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Texas St +3.5 wins if Texas St win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats?

Our prediction for Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats is Texas State Bobcats to win, with a 83% chance. We project Utah State Aggies 20.7 and Texas State Bobcats 36.9. Our best bet is Texas St to win at -498.

What is the projected score for Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats?

We project Utah State Aggies 20.7 and Texas State Bobcats 36.9, about 57.6 points in total.

How are Texas State Bobcats playing?

Texas State Bobcats have 7 wins and 9 losses in their last 16 games, with 553 points scored and 480 conceded. At home they have 6 wins and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Utah State Aggies playing?

Utah State Aggies have 7 wins and 10 losses in their last 17 games, with 439 points scored and 454 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Utah State Aggies vs Texas State Bobcats?

Texas St to win at -498, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Texas St against Utah State. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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