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Predictions › Peru › UTC vs Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1Fri 13 Nov, 18:00 Peru time

UTC vs Los Chankas prediction

Estadio Héroes de San Ramón

UTCHome
1.24 : 1.11
expected goals
Los ChankasAway
38%UTC
30%Draw
32%Los Chankas
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for UTC vs Los Chankas is UTC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
UTC to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
UTC 1.2, Los Chankas 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
48%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.191 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives UTC 38%, the draw 30% and Los Chankas 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    UTC took 3 points from their last 5 games and Los Chankas took 5 from 5. Los Chankas come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    UTC won 0 of their last 10 games at home. Los Chankas won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    UTC score 1.0 goals a game and let in 2.0. Los Chankas score 0.9 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of UTC games and 11 of Los Chankas games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, UTC won 1 and Los Chankas won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Los Chankas 2, UTC 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • UTCrecent form-4%
  • Los Chankasrecent form-1%
  • UTCrest between games-2%
UTC form L W L L LLos Chankas form D L L W DHome edge in this league 45% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UTC vs Los Chankas: UTC shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

UTC host Los Chankas in the Peruvian Liga 1 on Fri 13 Nov, 18:00 at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón. Our prediction for UTC vs Los Chankas is UTC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

UTC form

UTC have 1 win, 4 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Los Chankas form

Los Chankas have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. UTC won 1, Los Chankas won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Los Chankas 2, UTC 2.

Our call

We expect UTC to score about 1.2 goals and Los Chankas about 1.1. That points to UTC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.19.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

UTCLos Chankas
Games played2020
Wins14
Draws46
Losses1510
Goals scored2018
Goals conceded4037
Scored per game1.00.9
Conceded per game2.01.9
Home record0W 3D 7L4W 1D 5L
Away record1W 1D 8L0W 5D 5L
Clean sheets10%20%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.45
Over 2.5 goals42%2.39
Over 3.5 goals21%4.73
Both teams to score48%2.06
UTC or Draw68%1.48
Los Chankas or Draw62%1.62
UTC to win and Over 2.520%5.00
Los Chankas to win and Over 2.516%6.06
UTC clean sheet33%3.05
Los Chankas clean sheet29%3.45

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.9%
1-011.0%
0-010.3%
0-19.8%
2-18.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win UTC vs Los Chankas?

Our prediction for UTC vs Los Chankas is UTC to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for UTC vs Los Chankas?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect UTC to score 1.2 goals and Los Chankas 1.1.

Will both teams score in UTC vs Los Chankas?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of UTC last 20 games and 10 of Los Chankas last 20.

How are UTC playing?

UTC have 1 win, 4 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 40 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Los Chankas playing?

Los Chankas have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What happened when UTC and Los Chankas last met?

It ended Los Chankas 2, UTC 2. In the last 2 meetings UTC won 1 and Los Chankas won 0.

What is the best bet for UTC vs Los Chankas?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in UTC against Los Chankas. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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