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Predictions › United States › UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons
College FootballFri 20 Nov, 20:00 United States time

UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons prediction

Falcon Stadium

UTEP MinersAway
16.7 : 36.8
projected points
Air Force FalconsHome
10%UTEP
90%Air Force
Eagle safe pickUTEP +30.5
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons is Air Force Falcons to win, with a 90% chance. We project UTEP Miners 16.7 and Air Force Falcons 36.8. Our best bet is UTEP +30.5 at -301.

Prediction
Air Force Falcons to win
Chance
90%
Projected score
UTEP Miners 17, Air Force Falcons 37
Projected total
53.6 points
Best bet
UTEP +30.5 at -301

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UTEP +30.5
75% chanceFair price -3012 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Air Force Falcons 90% and UTEP Miners 10%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Air Force Falcons won 4 of their last 5 and UTEP Miners won 0 of their last 5. Air Force Falcons come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Air Force Falcons won 5 of their last 10 games at home. UTEP Miners won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Air Force Falcons score 28.4 points a game and let in 27.2. UTEP Miners score 18.4 and let in 33.1. Their recent games average 55.5 and 51.5 points in total.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    UTEP +30.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.

Nothing moved this one. Both teams are rested, form is level and there is no team news we can act on, so the number is what the results and the price say on their own.

Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons: Air Force Falcons are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Air Force Falcons host UTEP Miners in the College Football on Fri 20 Nov, 20:00 at Falcon Stadium. Our prediction for UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons is Air Force Falcons to win, with a 90% chance. We project UTEP Miners 16.7 and Air Force Falcons 36.8. Our best bet is UTEP +30.5 at -301.

Air Force Falcons form

Air Force Falcons have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 567 points scored and 544 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

UTEP Miners form

UTEP Miners have 2 wins and 17 losses in their last 19 games, with 349 points scored and 629 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect UTEP Miners to score about 16.7 points and Air Force Falcons about 36.8. That points to Air Force Falcons to win. Our safest bet is UTEP +30.5 at -301.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Air ForceUTEP
Games played2019
Wins102
Losses1017
Points scored567349
Points conceded544629
Scored per game28.418.4
Conceded per game27.233.1
Home record5W 5L1W 9L
Away record5W 5L1W 8L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Air Force spreadCoversFair
Air Force -27.532%+211
Air Force -23.542%+140
Air Force -20.549%+104
Air Force -17.556%-130
Air Force -13.566%-194
Total pointsOverUnder
46.567%33%
50.558%42%
53.550%50%
56.543%57%
60.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Air Force +3.5 wins if Air Force win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons?

Our prediction for UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons is Air Force Falcons to win, with a 90% chance. We project UTEP Miners 16.7 and Air Force Falcons 36.8. Our best bet is UTEP +30.5 at -301.

What is the projected score for UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons?

We project UTEP Miners 16.7 and Air Force Falcons 36.8, about 53.6 points in total.

How are Air Force Falcons playing?

Air Force Falcons have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 567 points scored and 544 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are UTEP Miners playing?

UTEP Miners have 2 wins and 17 losses in their last 19 games, with 349 points scored and 629 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for UTEP Miners vs Air Force Falcons?

UTEP +30.5 at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Air Force against UTEP. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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