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Predictions › United States › UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 16:00 United States time

UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos prediction

University Stadium (NM)

UTEP MinersAway
13.0 : 36.2
projected points
New Mexico LobosHome
10%UTEP
90%New Mexico
Eagle safe pickNew Mexico -12.5
-303

Quick answer

Our prediction for UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 90% chance. We project UTEP Miners 13.0 and New Mexico Lobos 36.2. Our best bet is New Mexico -12.5 at -303.

Prediction
New Mexico Lobos to win
Chance
90%
Projected score
UTEP Miners 13, New Mexico Lobos 36
Projected total
49.1 points
Best bet
New Mexico -12.5 at -303

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

New Mexico -12.5
75% chanceFair price -3032 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Mexico Lobos 90% and UTEP Miners 10%. The bookmakers agree and make New Mexico Lobos the favourite at -2083.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Mexico Lobos won 3 of their last 5 and UTEP Miners won 1 of their last 5. New Mexico Lobos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Mexico Lobos won 7 of their last 7 games at home. UTEP Miners won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Mexico Lobos score 30.6 points a game and let in 18.7. UTEP Miners score 21.2 and let in 33.3. Their recent games average 49.3 and 54.5 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    New Mexico -12.5 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • New Mexicorest between games-5%
  • UTEPrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos: New Mexico Lobos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

New Mexico Lobos host UTEP Miners in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 16:00 at University Stadium (NM). Our prediction for UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 90% chance. We project UTEP Miners 13.0 and New Mexico Lobos 36.2. Our best bet is New Mexico -12.5 at -303.

New Mexico Lobos form

New Mexico Lobos have 11 wins and 4 losses in their last 15 games, with 459 points scored and 280 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 0 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

UTEP Miners form

UTEP Miners have 2 wins and 12 losses in their last 14 games, with 297 points scored and 466 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect UTEP Miners to score about 13.0 points and New Mexico Lobos about 36.2. That points to New Mexico Lobos to win. Our safest bet is New Mexico -12.5 at -303.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

New MexicoUTEP
Games played1514
Wins112
Losses412
Points scored459297
Points conceded280466
Scored per game30.621.2
Conceded per game18.733.3
Home record7W 0L1W 6L
Away record4W 4L1W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
New Mexico to win90%-875-2083-5.9%
UTEP to win6%+1661+1100-31.8%
New Mexico -22.549%+106-112-7.9%
UTEP +22.545%+122-108-13.1%
Over 48.5 points48%+106-110-7.5%
Under 48.5 points45%+121-110-13.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

New Mexico spreadCoversFair
New Mexico -30.532%+208
New Mexico -26.542%+139
New Mexico -23.549%+103
New Mexico -20.557%-131
New Mexico -16.566%-196
Total pointsOverUnder
42.566%34%
46.557%43%
49.549%51%
52.542%58%
56.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. New Mexico +3.5 wins if New Mexico win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos?

Our prediction for UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos is New Mexico Lobos to win, with a 90% chance. We project UTEP Miners 13.0 and New Mexico Lobos 36.2. Our best bet is New Mexico -12.5 at -303.

What is the projected score for UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos?

We project UTEP Miners 13.0 and New Mexico Lobos 36.2, about 49.1 points in total.

How are New Mexico Lobos playing?

New Mexico Lobos have 11 wins and 4 losses in their last 15 games, with 459 points scored and 280 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 0 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are UTEP Miners playing?

UTEP Miners have 2 wins and 12 losses in their last 14 games, with 297 points scored and 466 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 6 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for UTEP Miners vs New Mexico Lobos?

New Mexico -12.5 at -303, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in New Mexico against UTEP. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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