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Predictions › United States › UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice Owls
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 19:00 United States time

UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice Owls prediction

Rice Stadium

UTSA RoadrunnersAway
32.2 : 21.7
projected points
Rice OwlsHome
77%UTSA
23%Rice
Eagle safe pickUTSA to win
-410

Quick answer

Our prediction for UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice Owls is UTSA Roadrunners to win, with a 77% chance. We project UTSA Roadrunners 32.2 and Rice Owls 21.7. Our best bet is UTSA to win at -410.

Prediction
UTSA Roadrunners to win
Chance
77%
Projected score
UTSA Roadrunners 32, Rice Owls 22
Projected total
53.9 points
Best bet
UTSA to win at -410

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UTSA to win
76% chancePrice -4101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rice Owls 23% and UTSA Roadrunners 77%. The bookmakers agree and make UTSA Roadrunners the favourite at -410.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rice Owls won 1 of their last 5 and UTSA Roadrunners won 4 of their last 5. UTSA Roadrunners come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rice Owls won 4 of their last 8 games at home. UTSA Roadrunners won 3 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Rice Owls score 20.1 points a game and let in 33.5. UTSA Roadrunners score 36.2 and let in 27.1. Their recent games average 53.5 and 63.3 points in total, and the market line is 54.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Rice Owls won 0 and UTSA Roadrunners won 1. The last one ended UTSA Roadrunners 61, Rice Owls 13.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    UTSA to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Ricerest between games-5%
  • UTSArest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice Owls: UTSA Roadrunners are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Rice Owls host UTSA Roadrunners in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 19:00 at Rice Stadium. Our prediction for UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice Owls is UTSA Roadrunners to win, with a 77% chance. We project UTSA Roadrunners 32.2 and Rice Owls 21.7. Our best bet is UTSA to win at -410.

Rice Owls form

Rice Owls have 5 wins and 10 losses in their last 15 games, with 301 points scored and 502 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

UTSA Roadrunners form

UTSA Roadrunners have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 543 points scored and 407 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Rice Owls won 0, UTSA Roadrunners won 1. Last time out it finished UTSA Roadrunners 61, Rice Owls 13.

Our call

We expect UTSA Roadrunners to score about 32.2 points and Rice Owls about 21.7. That points to UTSA Roadrunners to win. Our safest bet is UTSA to win at -410.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 15 games in all competitions.

RiceUTSA
Games played1515
Wins510
Losses105
Points scored301543
Points conceded502407
Scored per game20.136.2
Conceded per game33.527.1
Home record4W 4L7W 1L
Away record1W 6L3W 4L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Rice to win23%+337+320-3.8%
UTSA to win76%-315-410-5.6%
Rice +10.547%+113-110-10.5%
UTSA -10.547%+113-110-10.5%
Over 54.5 points45%+121-110-13.5%
Under 54.5 points48%+107-110-7.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Rice spreadCoversFair
Rice +3.533%+202
Rice +7.543%+135
Rice +10.550%+100
Rice +13.557%-135
Rice +17.567%-202
Total pointsOverUnder
46.568%32%
50.558%42%
53.551%49%
56.544%56%
60.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Rice +3.5 wins if Rice win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice Owls?

Our prediction for UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice Owls is UTSA Roadrunners to win, with a 77% chance. We project UTSA Roadrunners 32.2 and Rice Owls 21.7. Our best bet is UTSA to win at -410.

What is the projected score for UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice Owls?

We project UTSA Roadrunners 32.2 and Rice Owls 21.7, about 53.9 points in total.

How are Rice Owls playing?

Rice Owls have 5 wins and 10 losses in their last 15 games, with 301 points scored and 502 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, L, newest first.

How are UTSA Roadrunners playing?

UTSA Roadrunners have 10 wins and 5 losses in their last 15 games, with 543 points scored and 407 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 4 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Rice Owls and UTSA Roadrunners last met?

It ended UTSA Roadrunners 61, Rice Owls 13. In the last 1 meeting Rice Owls won 0 and UTSA Roadrunners won 1.

What is the best bet for UTSA Roadrunners vs Rice Owls?

UTSA to win at -410, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Rice against UTSA. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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