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Predictions › Norway › Vålerenga vs IK Start
EliteserienSat 21 Nov, 17:00 Norway time

Vålerenga vs IK Start prediction

Intility Arena

VålerengaHome
3.04 : 1.03
expected goals
IK StartAway
77%Valerenga
14%Draw
9%IK Start
Eagle safe pickOver 2.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vålerenga vs IK Start is Vålerenga to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Vålerenga to win
Chance
77%
Most likely score
3-1
Expected goals
Vålerenga 3.0, IK Start 1.0
Best bet
Over 2.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
62%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 2.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vålerenga to win and both score
42% chanceFair price 2.401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vålerenga 77%, the draw 14% and IK Start 9%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vålerenga took 9 points from their last 5 games and IK Start took 3 from 5. Vålerenga come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vålerenga won 4 of their last 10 games at home. IK Start won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Vålerenga score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. IK Start score 1.1 and let in 2.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Vålerenga games and 13 of IK Start games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Vålerenga won 0 and IK Start won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended IK Start 2, Vålerenga 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Valerengarecent form+3%
  • IK Startrecent form-4%
  • Valerengarest between games-2%
Valerenga form D W W W LIK Start form L L W L LHome edge in this league 31% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vålerenga vs IK Start: Vålerenga are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vålerenga host IK Start in the Eliteserien on Sat 21 Nov, 17:00 at Intility Arena. Our prediction for Vålerenga vs IK Start is Vålerenga to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.29.

Vålerenga form

Vålerenga have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

IK Start form

IK Start have 5 wins, 1 draw and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Vålerenga won 0, IK Start won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished IK Start 2, Vålerenga 0.

Our call

We expect Vålerenga to score about 3.0 goals and IK Start about 1.0. That points to Vålerenga to win, with 3-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Vålerenga to win and both score at 2.40.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ValerengaIK Start
Games played2020
Wins65
Draws51
Losses914
Goals scored3522
Goals conceded3749
Scored per game1.81.1
Conceded per game1.92.5
Home record4W 3D 3L4W 1D 6L
Away record2W 2D 6L1W 0D 8L
Clean sheets15%15%
Both teams scored55%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals92%1.09
Over 2.5 goals77%1.30
Over 3.5 goals58%1.73
Both teams to score62%1.63
Vålerenga or Draw91%1.10
IK Start or Draw23%4.36
Vålerenga to win and Over 2.564%1.56
IK Start to win and Over 2.57%14.55
Vålerenga clean sheet36%2.80
IK Start clean sheet5%20.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

3-18.2%
2-18.1%
3-08.0%
2-07.9%
4-16.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vålerenga vs IK Start?

Our prediction for Vålerenga vs IK Start is Vålerenga to win, with a 77% chance. The most likely score is 3-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Vålerenga vs IK Start?

3-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 3-0. We expect Vålerenga to score 3.0 goals and IK Start 1.0.

Will both teams score in Vålerenga vs IK Start?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Vålerenga last 20 games and 10 of IK Start last 20.

How are Vålerenga playing?

Vålerenga have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are IK Start playing?

IK Start have 5 wins, 1 draw and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 49 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 8 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Vålerenga and IK Start last met?

It ended IK Start 2, Vålerenga 0. In the last 1 meeting Vålerenga won 0 and IK Start won 1.

What is the best bet for Vålerenga vs IK Start?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Valerenga against IK Start. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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  • Prices move. The odds shown were read from a bookmaker feed and may already be different. Always check the price in your own account before you place anything.
  • No advice for your money. We are not financial advisers and we do not know your situation. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to stake any amount.
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