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Predictions › Norway › Vålerenga vs SK Brann
EliteserienSun 18 Oct, 15:00 Norway time

Vålerenga vs SK Brann prediction

Intility Arena

VålerengaHome
1.58 : 1.80
expected goals
SK BrannAway
33%Valerenga
24%Draw
43%SK Brann
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vålerenga vs SK Brann is SK Brann to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction
SK Brann to win
Chance
43%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Vålerenga 1.6, SK Brann 1.8
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price 1.202 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

SK Brann to win and Over 2.5
31% chanceFair price 3.221 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vålerenga 33%, the draw 24% and SK Brann 43%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vålerenga took 3 points from their last 5 games and SK Brann took 7 from 5. SK Brann come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vålerenga won 2 of their last 10 games at home. SK Brann won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Vålerenga score 1.5 goals a game and let in 2.1. SK Brann score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Vålerenga games and 16 of SK Brann games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Vålerenga won 1 and SK Brann won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended SK Brann 2, Vålerenga 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Valerengarecent form-3%
Valerenga form D L D L DSK Brann form W L L D WHome edge in this league 34% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vålerenga vs SK Brann: SK Brann shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vålerenga host SK Brann in the Eliteserien on Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 at Intility Arena. Our prediction for Vålerenga vs SK Brann is SK Brann to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Vålerenga form

Vålerenga have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

SK Brann form

SK Brann have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Vålerenga won 1, SK Brann won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished SK Brann 2, Vålerenga 3.

Our call

We expect Vålerenga to score about 1.6 goals and SK Brann about 1.8. That points to SK Brann to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is SK Brann to win and Over 2.5 at 3.22.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ValerengaSK Brann
Games played2020
Wins49
Draws62
Losses109
Goals scored3037
Goals conceded4229
Scored per game1.51.9
Conceded per game2.11.4
Home record2W 3D 5L6W 0D 5L
Away record2W 3D 5L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets10%15%
Both teams scored55%75%
Over 2.5 goals55%80%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.52
Over 3.5 goals44%2.29
Both teams to score67%1.50
Vålerenga or Draw57%1.75
SK Brann or Draw67%1.50
Vålerenga to win and Over 2.524%4.10
SK Brann to win and Over 2.532%3.15
Vålerenga clean sheet16%6.07
SK Brann clean sheet21%4.84

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.3%
1-28.7%
2-17.6%
2-26.9%
0-15.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vålerenga vs SK Brann?

Our prediction for Vålerenga vs SK Brann is SK Brann to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Vålerenga vs SK Brann?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Vålerenga to score 1.6 goals and SK Brann 1.8.

Will both teams score in Vålerenga vs SK Brann?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Vålerenga last 20 games and 15 of SK Brann last 20.

How are Vålerenga playing?

Vålerenga have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 42 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

How are SK Brann playing?

SK Brann have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Vålerenga and SK Brann last met?

It ended SK Brann 2, Vålerenga 3. In the last 2 meetings Vålerenga won 1 and SK Brann won 1.

What is the best bet for Vålerenga vs SK Brann?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Valerenga against SK Brann. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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