PredictionsUnited StatesVancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames
NHLTue 22 Sept, 21:00 United States time

Vancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames prediction

Scotiabank Saddledome

Vancouver CanucksAway
2.7 : 3.5
projected goals
Calgary FlamesHome
33%Canucks
67%Flames
Eagle safe pickUnder 8 goals
-503

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 67% chance. We project Vancouver Canucks 2.7 and Calgary Flames 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -503.

Prediction
Calgary Flames to win
Chance
67%
Projected score
Vancouver Canucks 3, Calgary Flames 4
Projected total
6.2 goals
Best bet
Under 8 goals at -503

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 8 goals
83% chanceFair price -5032 units

Eagle bold pick

Canucks to win
32% chanceFair price +2101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Calgary Flames 67% and Vancouver Canucks 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Calgary Flames won 2 of their last 5 and Vancouver Canucks won 3 of their last 5. Vancouver Canucks come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Calgary Flames won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Vancouver Canucks won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Calgary Flames score 2.9 goals a game and let in 3.5. Vancouver Canucks score 2.6 and let in 4.2. Their recent games average 6.3 and 6.8 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Calgary Flames won 2 and Vancouver Canucks won 3. The last one ended Calgary Flames 7, Vancouver Canucks 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 8 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Flamesrest between games-3%
  • Canucksrest between games-3%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames: Calgary Flames are favourites

The big picture

Calgary Flames host Vancouver Canucks in the NHL on Tue 22 Sept, 21:00 at Scotiabank Saddledome. Our prediction for Vancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 67% chance. We project Vancouver Canucks 2.7 and Calgary Flames 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -503.

Calgary Flames form

Calgary Flames have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 70 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Vancouver Canucks form

Vancouver Canucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 83 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Calgary Flames won 2, Vancouver Canucks won 3. Last time out it finished Calgary Flames 7, Vancouver Canucks 3.

Our call

We expect Vancouver Canucks to score about 2.7 goals and Calgary Flames about 3.5. That points to Calgary Flames to win. Our safest bet is Under 8 goals at -503. Our bold bet is Canucks to win at +210.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

FlamesCanucks
Games played2020
Wins96
Losses1114
Goals scored5753
Goals conceded7083
Scored per game2.92.6
Conceded per game3.54.2
Home record7W 2L3W 8L
Away record2W 9L3W 6L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Flames spreadCoversFair
Flames -1.539%+155
Flames -0.556%-126
Flames +0.571%-247
Total goalsOverUnder
5.561%39%
6.544%56%
7.528%72%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Flames +3.5 wins if Flames win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames?

Our prediction for Vancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames is Calgary Flames to win, with a 67% chance. We project Vancouver Canucks 2.7 and Calgary Flames 3.5. Our best bet is Under 8 goals at -503.

What is the projected score for Vancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames?

We project Vancouver Canucks 2.7 and Calgary Flames 3.5, about 6.2 goals in total.

How are Calgary Flames playing?

Calgary Flames have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 57 goals scored and 70 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Vancouver Canucks playing?

Vancouver Canucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 83 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Calgary Flames and Vancouver Canucks last met?

It ended Calgary Flames 7, Vancouver Canucks 3. In the last 5 meetings Calgary Flames won 2 and Vancouver Canucks won 3.

What is the best bet for Vancouver Canucks vs Calgary Flames?

Under 8 goals at -503, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Flames against Canucks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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