Predictions › United States › Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers
NHLTue 29 Sept, 22:00 United States time

Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers prediction

Rogers Place

Vancouver CanucksAway
2.7 : 4.0
projected goals
Edmonton OilersHome
26%Canucks
74%Oilers
Eagle safe pickOilers to win
-278

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 74% chance. We project Vancouver Canucks 2.7 and Edmonton Oilers 4.0. Our best bet is Oilers to win at -278.

Prediction
Edmonton Oilers to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Vancouver Canucks 3, Edmonton Oilers 4
Projected total
6.7 goals
Best bet
Oilers to win at -278

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Oilers to win
74% chancePrice -278+0.0% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Edmonton Oilers 74% and Vancouver Canucks 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Edmonton Oilers the favourite at -278.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Edmonton Oilers won 4 of their last 5 and Vancouver Canucks won 1 of their last 5. Edmonton Oilers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Edmonton Oilers won 8 of their last 11 games at home. Vancouver Canucks won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Edmonton Oilers score 3.3 goals a game and let in 2.6. Vancouver Canucks score 2.6 and let in 4.1. Their recent games average 6.0 and 6.8 goals in total, and the market line is 6.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Edmonton Oilers won 4 and Vancouver Canucks won 1. The last one ended Vancouver Canucks 1, Edmonton Oilers 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Oilers to win has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Oilersrest between games-5%
  • Canucksrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers: Edmonton Oilers are favourites

The big picture

Edmonton Oilers host Vancouver Canucks in the NHL on Tue 29 Sept, 22:00 at Rogers Place. Our prediction for Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 74% chance. We project Vancouver Canucks 2.7 and Edmonton Oilers 4.0. Our best bet is Oilers to win at -278.

Edmonton Oilers form

Edmonton Oilers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 53 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Vancouver Canucks form

Vancouver Canucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 82 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Edmonton Oilers won 4, Vancouver Canucks won 1. Last time out it finished Vancouver Canucks 1, Edmonton Oilers 2.

Our call

We expect Vancouver Canucks to score about 2.7 goals and Edmonton Oilers about 4.0. That points to Edmonton Oilers to win. Our safest bet is Oilers to win at -278.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

OilersCanucks
Games played2020
Wins126
Losses814
Goals scored6653
Goals conceded5382
Scored per game3.32.6
Conceded per game2.64.1
Home record8W 3L3W 7L
Away record4W 5L3W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Oilers to win74%-278-278+0.0%
Canucks to win28%+262+225-10.2%
Oilers -1.543%+133-112-18.9%
Canucks +1.551%-104-108-2.0%
Over 6.5 goals50%+101-115-7.1%
Under 6.5 goals44%+127-105-14.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Oilers spreadCoversFair
Oilers -2.530%+231
Oilers -1.546%+117
Oilers -0.562%-166
Total goalsOverUnder
5.569%31%
6.553%47%
7.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Oilers +3.5 wins if Oilers win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers?

Our prediction for Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers is Edmonton Oilers to win, with a 74% chance. We project Vancouver Canucks 2.7 and Edmonton Oilers 4.0. Our best bet is Oilers to win at -278.

What is the projected score for Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers?

We project Vancouver Canucks 2.7 and Edmonton Oilers 4.0, about 6.7 goals in total.

How are Edmonton Oilers playing?

Edmonton Oilers have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 66 goals scored and 53 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Vancouver Canucks playing?

Vancouver Canucks have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 53 goals scored and 82 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Edmonton Oilers and Vancouver Canucks last met?

It ended Vancouver Canucks 1, Edmonton Oilers 2. In the last 5 meetings Edmonton Oilers won 4 and Vancouver Canucks won 1.

What is the best bet for Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers?

Oilers to win at -278, with a 74% chance. That price pays about 0.0% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Oilers against Canucks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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