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Predictions › United States › Vancouver Canucks vs Tampa Bay Lightning
NHLSat 17 Oct, 16:00 United States time

Vancouver Canucks vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction

Benchmark International Arena

Vancouver CanucksAway
2.7 : 3.9
projected goals
Tampa Bay LightningHome
26%Canucks
74%Lightning
Eagle safe pickCanucks +3
-350

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vancouver Canucks vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 74% chance. We project Vancouver Canucks 2.7 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.9. Our best bet is Canucks +3 at -350.

Prediction
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Chance
74%
Projected score
Vancouver Canucks 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Projected total
6.5 goals
Best bet
Canucks +3 at -350

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Canucks +3
78% chanceFair price -3502 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Canucks to win
27% chanceFair price +2661 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tampa Bay Lightning 74% and Vancouver Canucks 26%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tampa Bay Lightning won 3 of their last 5 and Vancouver Canucks won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tampa Bay Lightning won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Vancouver Canucks won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tampa Bay Lightning score 2.3 goals a game and let in 2.7. Vancouver Canucks score 3.0 and let in 4.2. Their recent games average 5.0 and 7.3 goals in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1 and Vancouver Canucks won 1. The last one ended Vancouver Canucks 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 6.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Canucks +3 has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Lightningrest between games-5%
  • Canucksrest between games-2%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vancouver Canucks vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Tampa Bay Lightning are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tampa Bay Lightning host Vancouver Canucks in the NHL on Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 at Benchmark International Arena. Our prediction for Vancouver Canucks vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 74% chance. We project Vancouver Canucks 2.7 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.9. Our best bet is Canucks +3 at -350.

Tampa Bay Lightning form

Tampa Bay Lightning have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Vancouver Canucks form

Vancouver Canucks have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 84 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Tampa Bay Lightning won 1, Vancouver Canucks won 1. Last time out it finished Vancouver Canucks 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 6.

Our call

We expect Vancouver Canucks to score about 2.7 goals and Tampa Bay Lightning about 3.9. That points to Tampa Bay Lightning to win. Our safest bet is Canucks +3 at -350. Our bold bet is Canucks to win at +266.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

LightningCanucks
Games played2020
Wins97
Losses1113
Goals scored4661
Goals conceded5484
Scored per game2.33.0
Conceded per game2.74.2
Home record5W 5L3W 6L
Away record4W 6L4W 7L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Lightning spreadCoversFair
Lightning -2.530%+236
Lightning -1.545%+120
Lightning -0.562%-162
Total goalsOverUnder
5.567%33%
6.551%49%
7.534%66%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Lightning +3.5 wins if Lightning win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vancouver Canucks vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Our prediction for Vancouver Canucks vs Tampa Bay Lightning is Tampa Bay Lightning to win, with a 74% chance. We project Vancouver Canucks 2.7 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.9. Our best bet is Canucks +3 at -350.

What is the projected score for Vancouver Canucks vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

We project Vancouver Canucks 2.7 and Tampa Bay Lightning 3.9, about 6.5 goals in total.

How are Tampa Bay Lightning playing?

Tampa Bay Lightning have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 46 goals scored and 54 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Vancouver Canucks playing?

Vancouver Canucks have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 61 goals scored and 84 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Tampa Bay Lightning and Vancouver Canucks last met?

It ended Vancouver Canucks 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 6. In the last 2 meetings Tampa Bay Lightning won 1 and Vancouver Canucks won 1.

What is the best bet for Vancouver Canucks vs Tampa Bay Lightning?

Canucks +3 at -350, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Lightning against Canucks. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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