Predictions › United States › Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC
MLSWed 28 Oct, 22:30 United States time

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC prediction

BC Place

Vancouver WhitecapsHome
2.10 : 1.10
expected goals
San Diego FCAway
60%Vancouver
22%Draw
19%San Diego
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-488

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -488.

Prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Chance
60%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Vancouver Whitecaps 2.1, San Diego FC 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -488
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price -4882 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5
44% chanceFair price +1291 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vancouver Whitecaps 60%, the draw 22% and San Diego FC 19%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vancouver Whitecaps took 6 points from their last 5 games and San Diego FC took 4 from 5. Vancouver Whitecaps come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vancouver Whitecaps won 2 of their last 7 games at home. San Diego FC won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. San Diego FC score 1.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Vancouver Whitecaps games and 14 of San Diego FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps won 2 and San Diego FC won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended San Diego FC 2, Vancouver Whitecaps 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Vancouverrecent form-1%
  • San Diegorecent form-1%
  • Vancouverrest between games-5%
  • San Diegorest between games-5%
Vancouver form D D D L DSan Diego form D D L D DHome edge in this league 26% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC: Vancouver Whitecaps are favourites

The big picture

Vancouver Whitecaps host San Diego FC in the MLS on Wed 28 Oct, 22:30 at BC Place. Our prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -488.

Vancouver Whitecaps form

Vancouver Whitecaps have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, D, newest first.

San Diego FC form

San Diego FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Vancouver Whitecaps won 2, San Diego FC won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished San Diego FC 2, Vancouver Whitecaps 4.

Our call

We expect Vancouver Whitecaps to score about 2.1 goals and San Diego FC about 1.1. That points to Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -488. Our bold bet is Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5 at +129.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VancouverSan Diego
Games played2020
Wins85
Draws68
Losses67
Goals scored3736
Goals conceded2539
Scored per game1.91.8
Conceded per game1.31.9
Home record2W 2D 3L4W 3D 3L
Away record6W 4D 3L1W 5D 4L
Clean sheets35%20%
Both teams scored55%65%
Over 2.5 goals60%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%-504
Over 2.5 goals62%-163
Over 3.5 goals40%+151
Both teams to score59%-144
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw81%-440
San Diego FC or Draw40%+149
Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.543%+134
San Diego FC to win and Over 2.512%+722
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet33%+200
San Diego FC clean sheet12%+718

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.0%
2-19.9%
2-09.0%
1-08.0%
3-16.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?

Our prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 60% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -488.

What is the score prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Vancouver Whitecaps to score 2.1 goals and San Diego FC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Vancouver Whitecaps last 20 games and 13 of San Diego FC last 20.

How are Vancouver Whitecaps playing?

Vancouver Whitecaps have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, D, newest first.

How are San Diego FC playing?

San Diego FC have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 36 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 5 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego FC last met?

It ended San Diego FC 2, Vancouver Whitecaps 4. In the last 2 meetings Vancouver Whitecaps won 2 and San Diego FC won 0.

What is the best bet for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -488, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vancouver against San Diego. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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