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Predictions › United States › Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders FC
MLSSun 1 Nov, 16:30 United States time

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders FC prediction

BC Place

Vancouver WhitecapsHome
1.54 : 1.06
expected goals
Seattle Sounders FCAway
48%Vancouver
27%Draw
25%Seattle
Eagle safe pickVancouver Whitecaps or Draw
-308

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders FC is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -308.

Prediction
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Chance
48%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Vancouver Whitecaps 1.5, Seattle Sounders FC 1.1
Best bet
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -308
Both teams to score
52%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw
75% chanceFair price -3082 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price +2691 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vancouver Whitecaps 48%, the draw 27% and Seattle Sounders FC 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vancouver Whitecaps took 6 points from their last 5 games and Seattle Sounders FC took 10 from 5. Seattle Sounders FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vancouver Whitecaps won 2 of their last 7 games at home. Seattle Sounders FC won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Vancouver Whitecaps score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.3. Seattle Sounders FC score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Vancouver Whitecaps games and 10 of Seattle Sounders FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 4 meetings, Vancouver Whitecaps won 1 and Seattle Sounders FC won 2 with 1 draw. The last one ended Seattle Sounders FC 0, Vancouver Whitecaps 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Vancouverrecent form-1%
  • Seattlerecent form+3%
Vancouver form D D D L DSeattle form D L W W WHome edge in this league 27% more goals at homeCorrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders FC: Vancouver Whitecaps are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Vancouver Whitecaps host Seattle Sounders FC in the MLS on Sun 1 Nov, 16:30 at BC Place. Our prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders FC is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -308.

Vancouver Whitecaps form

Vancouver Whitecaps have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, D, newest first.

Seattle Sounders FC form

Seattle Sounders FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 4 times in our records. Vancouver Whitecaps won 1, Seattle Sounders FC won 2 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Seattle Sounders FC 0, Vancouver Whitecaps 2.

Our call

We expect Vancouver Whitecaps to score about 1.5 goals and Seattle Sounders FC about 1.1. That points to Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -308. Our bold bet is Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.5 at +269.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

VancouverSeattle
Games played2020
Wins85
Draws66
Losses69
Goals scored3725
Goals conceded2531
Scored per game1.91.3
Conceded per game1.31.6
Home record2W 2D 3L4W 3D 4L
Away record6W 4D 3L1W 3D 5L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored55%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%-286
Over 2.5 goals48%+107
Over 3.5 goals27%+277
Both teams to score52%-109
Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw75%-294
Seattle Sounders FC or Draw52%-109
Vancouver Whitecaps to win and Over 2.528%+254
Seattle Sounders FC to win and Over 2.514%+610
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet35%+189
Seattle Sounders FC clean sheet21%+369

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
1-010.7%
2-19.3%
2-08.8%
0-08.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Our prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders FC is Vancouver Whitecaps to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -308.

What is the score prediction for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Vancouver Whitecaps to score 1.5 goals and Seattle Sounders FC 1.1.

Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Vancouver Whitecaps last 20 games and 12 of Seattle Sounders FC last 20.

How are Vancouver Whitecaps playing?

Vancouver Whitecaps have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Seattle Sounders FC playing?

Seattle Sounders FC have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 31 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Vancouver Whitecaps and Seattle Sounders FC last met?

It ended Seattle Sounders FC 0, Vancouver Whitecaps 2. In the last 4 meetings Vancouver Whitecaps won 1 and Seattle Sounders FC won 2.

What is the best bet for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Seattle Sounders FC?

Vancouver Whitecaps or Draw at -308, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Vancouver against Seattle. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
  • We do not promise profit. Our public record shows wins and losses together, and losing runs happen to every method. Treat any money you stake as money you may never see again.
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