Predictions › United States › Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs
College FootballSat 3 Oct, 12:45 United States time

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs prediction

Sanford Stadium

Vanderbilt CommodoresAway
14.4 : 37.7
projected points
Georgia BulldogsHome
9%Vanderbilt
91%Georgia
Eagle safe pickVanderbilt +34.5
-310

Quick answer

Our prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs is Georgia Bulldogs to win, with a 91% chance. We project Vanderbilt Commodores 14.4 and Georgia Bulldogs 37.7. Our best bet is Vanderbilt +34.5 at -310.

Prediction
Georgia Bulldogs to win
Chance
91%
Projected score
Vanderbilt Commodores 14, Georgia Bulldogs 38
Projected total
52.1 points
Best bet
Vanderbilt +34.5 at -310

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Vanderbilt +34.5
76% chanceFair price -3102 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Georgia Bulldogs 91% and Vanderbilt Commodores 9%. The bookmakers agree and make Georgia Bulldogs the favourite at -3226.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Georgia Bulldogs won 4 of their last 5 and Vanderbilt Commodores won 3 of their last 5. Georgia Bulldogs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Georgia Bulldogs won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Vanderbilt Commodores won 2 of their last 5 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Georgia Bulldogs score 37.2 points a game and let in 17.9. Vanderbilt Commodores score 34.9 and let in 24.1. Their recent games average 55.1 and 59.0 points in total, and the market line is 51.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Vanderbilt +34.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

What moved our number

Eagle 2.0 starts from results and prices, then reads four more things. Here is every change it made on this game.
  • Georgiarest between games-5%
  • Vanderbiltrest between games-5%
Corrected using our own settled bets

Note: Each reading is capped on purpose. Together they can never move an expected goal number by more than 12 percent. See the full method.

Match preview

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs: Georgia Bulldogs are favourites

The big picture

Georgia Bulldogs host Vanderbilt Commodores in the College Football on Sat 3 Oct, 12:45 at Sanford Stadium. Our prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs is Georgia Bulldogs to win, with a 91% chance. We project Vanderbilt Commodores 14.4 and Georgia Bulldogs 37.7. Our best bet is Vanderbilt +34.5 at -310.

Georgia Bulldogs form

Georgia Bulldogs have 14 wins and 2 losses in their last 16 games, with 595 points scored and 286 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Vanderbilt Commodores form

Vanderbilt Commodores have 11 wins and 4 losses in their last 15 games, with 524 points scored and 361 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Vanderbilt Commodores to score about 14.4 points and Georgia Bulldogs about 37.7. That points to Georgia Bulldogs to win. Our safest bet is Vanderbilt +34.5 at -310.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 16 games in all competitions.

GeorgiaVanderbilt
Games played1615
Wins1411
Losses24
Points scored595524
Points conceded286361
Scored per game37.234.9
Conceded per game17.924.1
Home record7W 2L9W 1L
Away record7W 0L2W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Georgia to win91%-999-3226-6.3%
Vanderbilt to win5%+2112+1400-32.2%
Georgia -24.544%+127-112-16.7%
Vanderbilt +24.550%+101-108-4.2%
Over 51.5 points48%+107-118-10.6%
Under 51.5 points45%+121-102-10.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Georgia spreadCoversFair
Georgia -30.533%+205
Georgia -26.542%+137
Georgia -23.550%+102
Georgia -20.557%-133
Georgia -16.567%-199
Total pointsOverUnder
45.566%34%
49.556%44%
52.549%51%
55.542%58%
59.532%68%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Georgia +3.5 wins if Georgia win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Latest news on these teams

All news

Questions people ask

Who will win Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs?

Our prediction for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs is Georgia Bulldogs to win, with a 91% chance. We project Vanderbilt Commodores 14.4 and Georgia Bulldogs 37.7. Our best bet is Vanderbilt +34.5 at -310.

What is the projected score for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs?

We project Vanderbilt Commodores 14.4 and Georgia Bulldogs 37.7, about 52.1 points in total.

How are Georgia Bulldogs playing?

Georgia Bulldogs have 14 wins and 2 losses in their last 16 games, with 595 points scored and 286 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Vanderbilt Commodores playing?

Vanderbilt Commodores have 11 wins and 4 losses in their last 15 games, with 524 points scored and 361 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 3 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Vanderbilt Commodores vs Georgia Bulldogs?

Vanderbilt +34.5 at -310, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.

Important, please read before you bet

  • These are opinions, not results. Everything on this page is a probability worked out by a computer model from past games and current prices. No one can know what will happen in Georgia against Vanderbilt. A pick at 70 percent still loses about 3 times in every 10.
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